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NBAMon 2 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Atlanta HawksAway
123.8 : 115.3
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
77%Hawks
23%Pacers
Eagle safe pickHawks to win
-326

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 77% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 123.8 and Indiana Pacers 115.3. Our best bet is Hawks to win at -326.

Prediction
Atlanta Hawks to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 124, Indiana Pacers 115
Projected total
239.1 points
Best bet
Hawks to win at -326

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks to win
77% chanceFair price -3262 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 23% and Atlanta Hawks 77%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 5 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 8 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 118.2 points a game and let in 121.7. Atlanta Hawks score 116.0 and let in 114.2. Their recent games average 239.9 and 230.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 1 and Atlanta Hawks won 3. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 117, Atlanta Hawks 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers: Atlanta Hawks are favourites

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Mon 2 Nov, 19:30 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 77% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 123.8 and Indiana Pacers 115.3. Our best bet is Hawks to win at -326.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2364 points scored and 2434 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2320 points scored and 2284 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 1, Atlanta Hawks won 3. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 117, Atlanta Hawks 119.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 123.8 points and Indiana Pacers about 115.3. That points to Atlanta Hawks to win. Our safest bet is Hawks to win at -326.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PacersHawks
Games played2020
Wins612
Losses148
Points scored23642320
Points conceded24342284
Scored per game118.2116.0
Conceded per game121.7114.2
Home record2W 9L4W 4L
Away record4W 5L8W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers +2.532%+217
Pacers +5.540%+147
Pacers +8.550%+100
Pacers +11.559%-147
Pacers +14.568%-216
Total pointsOverUnder
233.562%38%
236.556%44%
239.549%51%
242.543%57%
245.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 77% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 123.8 and Indiana Pacers 115.3. Our best bet is Hawks to win at -326.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Atlanta Hawks 123.8 and Indiana Pacers 115.3, about 239.1 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2364 points scored and 2434 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2320 points scored and 2284 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 117, Atlanta Hawks 119. In the last 4 meetings Indiana Pacers won 1 and Atlanta Hawks won 3.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers?

Hawks to win at -326, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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