Predictions › United States › Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction

Sanford Stadium

Auburn TigersAway
18.8 : 35.8
projected points
Georgia BulldogsHome
15%Auburn
85%Georgia
Eagle safe pickGeorgia -6.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs is Georgia Bulldogs to win, with a 85% chance. We project Auburn Tigers 18.8 and Georgia Bulldogs 35.8. Our best bet is Georgia -6.5 at -301.

Prediction
Georgia Bulldogs to win
Chance
85%
Projected score
Auburn Tigers 19, Georgia Bulldogs 36
Projected total
54.6 points
Best bet
Georgia -6.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Georgia -6.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Georgia Bulldogs 85% and Auburn Tigers 15%. The bookmakers agree and make Georgia Bulldogs the favourite at -1205.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Georgia Bulldogs won 5 of their last 5 and Auburn Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Georgia Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Georgia Bulldogs won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Auburn Tigers won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Georgia Bulldogs score 37.2 points a game and let in 17.6. Auburn Tigers score 25.0 and let in 21.9. Their recent games average 54.9 and 46.9 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Georgia Bulldogs won 1 and Auburn Tigers won 0. The last one ended Auburn Tigers 10, Georgia Bulldogs 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Georgia -6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs: Georgia Bulldogs are favourites

The big picture

Georgia Bulldogs host Auburn Tigers in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Sanford Stadium. Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs is Georgia Bulldogs to win, with a 85% chance. We project Auburn Tigers 18.8 and Georgia Bulldogs 35.8. Our best bet is Georgia -6.5 at -301.

Georgia Bulldogs form

Georgia Bulldogs have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 633 points scored and 300 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Auburn Tigers form

Auburn Tigers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 375 points scored and 328 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Georgia Bulldogs won 1, Auburn Tigers won 0. Last time out it finished Auburn Tigers 10, Georgia Bulldogs 20.

Our call

We expect Auburn Tigers to score about 18.8 points and Georgia Bulldogs about 35.8. That points to Georgia Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Georgia -6.5 at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

GeorgiaAuburn
Games played1715
Wins156
Losses29
Points scored633375
Points conceded300328
Scored per game37.225.0
Conceded per game17.621.9
Home record8W 2L5W 5L
Away record7W 0L1W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Georgia to win85%-579-1205-7.6%
Auburn to win11%+848+750-10.3%
Georgia -16.548%+109-112-9.6%
Auburn +16.545%+120-108-12.4%
Over 54.5 points47%+113-115-12.3%
Under 54.5 points46%+116-105-9.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Georgia spreadCoversFair
Georgia -23.534%+192
Georgia -19.544%+128
Georgia -16.551%-105
Georgia -13.559%-142
Georgia -9.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.558%42%
54.550%50%
57.543%57%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Georgia +3.5 wins if Georgia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs is Georgia Bulldogs to win, with a 85% chance. We project Auburn Tigers 18.8 and Georgia Bulldogs 35.8. Our best bet is Georgia -6.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs?

We project Auburn Tigers 18.8 and Georgia Bulldogs 35.8, about 54.6 points in total.

How are Georgia Bulldogs playing?

Georgia Bulldogs have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 633 points scored and 300 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Auburn Tigers playing?

Auburn Tigers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 375 points scored and 328 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Georgia Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers last met?

It ended Auburn Tigers 10, Georgia Bulldogs 20. In the last 1 meeting Georgia Bulldogs won 1 and Auburn Tigers won 0.

What is the best bet for Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs?

Georgia -6.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Georgia against Auburn. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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