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Predictions › United States › Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
MLBFri 25 Sept, 19:05 United States time

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees prediction

Yankee Stadium

Baltimore OriolesAway
4.0 : 5.0
projected runs
New York YankeesHome
39%Orioles
61%Yankees
Eagle safe pickOrioles +3.5
-281

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baltimore Orioles 4.0 and New York Yankees 5.0. Our best bet is Orioles +3.5 at -281.

Prediction
New York Yankees to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Baltimore Orioles 4, New York Yankees 5
Projected total
9.0 runs
Best bet
Orioles +3.5 at -281

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Orioles +3.5
74% chanceFair price -2811 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Orioles to win
36% chanceFair price +1781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Yankees 61% and Baltimore Orioles 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5 and Baltimore Orioles won 3 of their last 5. New York Yankees come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Yankees won 9 of their last 13 games at home. Baltimore Orioles won 8 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Yankees score 5.3 runs a game and let in 3.8. Baltimore Orioles score 4.5 and let in 4.5. Their recent games average 9.1 and 9.1 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New York Yankees won 4 and Baltimore Orioles won 1. The last one ended Baltimore Orioles 1, New York Yankees 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Orioles +3.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Yankeesrest between games-5%
  • Oriolesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees: New York Yankees are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Yankees host Baltimore Orioles in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 19:05 at Yankee Stadium. Our prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baltimore Orioles 4.0 and New York Yankees 5.0. Our best bet is Orioles +3.5 at -281.

New York Yankees form

New York Yankees have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 106 runs scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Baltimore Orioles form

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 91 runs scored and 90 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 5 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New York Yankees won 4, Baltimore Orioles won 1. Last time out it finished Baltimore Orioles 1, New York Yankees 6.

Our call

We expect Baltimore Orioles to score about 4.0 runs and New York Yankees about 5.0. That points to New York Yankees to win. Our safest bet is Orioles +3.5 at -281. Our bold bet is Orioles to win at +178.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

YankeesOrioles
Games played2020
Wins1310
Losses710
Runs scored10691
Runs conceded7690
Scored per game5.34.5
Conceded per game3.84.5
Home record9W 4L2W 5L
Away record4W 3L8W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Yankees spreadCoversFair
Yankees -3.528%+257
Yankees -2.536%+174
Yankees -1.546%+119
Yankees -0.555%-123
Yankees +0.564%-181
Total runsOverUnder
7.563%37%
8.555%45%
9.546%54%
10.537%63%
11.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Yankees +3.5 wins if Yankees win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Schlittler Lowers ERA to 1.95 as Yankees Shut Out Mets

Cam Schlittler threw six scoreless innings against the Mets, dropping his ERA to 1.95 and sparking Cy Young and MVP discussion.

13 Sept 2026
MLB

Gerrit Cole Struggles as Yankees Fall to Mets

Gerrit Cole struggled on Saturday, giving up five runs in a 12-2 loss to the Mets, leaving the Yankees pitcher searching for answers.

13 Sept 2026
MLB

Derek Jeter and Yankees Honor 9/11 Families in Emotional Ceremony

Derek Jeter reunited with Brielle Saracini at Yankee Stadium as the Yankees paid tribute to 9/11 victims before their series against the Mets.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees?

Our prediction for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baltimore Orioles 4.0 and New York Yankees 5.0. Our best bet is Orioles +3.5 at -281.

What is the projected score for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees?

We project Baltimore Orioles 4.0 and New York Yankees 5.0, about 9.0 runs in total.

How are New York Yankees playing?

New York Yankees have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 106 runs scored and 76 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Baltimore Orioles playing?

Baltimore Orioles have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 91 runs scored and 90 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 5 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles last met?

It ended Baltimore Orioles 1, New York Yankees 6. In the last 5 meetings New York Yankees won 4 and Baltimore Orioles won 1.

What is the best bet for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees?

Orioles +3.5 at -281, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Yankees against Orioles. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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