Predictions › United States › Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers
NFLSun 22 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers prediction

Bank of America Stadium

Baltimore RavensAway
23.1 : 23.2
projected points
Carolina PanthersHome
52%Ravens
48%Panthers
Eagle safe pickOver 37.5 points
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Ravens 23.1 and Carolina Panthers 23.2. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -312.

Prediction
Baltimore Ravens to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Baltimore Ravens 23, Carolina Panthers 23
Projected total
46.3 points
Best bet
Over 37.5 points at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 37.5 points
76% chanceFair price -3122 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Carolina Panthers 48% and Baltimore Ravens 52%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Carolina Panthers the favourite at -125, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Carolina Panthers won 2 of their last 5 and Baltimore Ravens won 1 of their last 5. Carolina Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Carolina Panthers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Baltimore Ravens won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Carolina Panthers score 23.1 points a game and let in 25.0. Baltimore Ravens score 23.1 and let in 20.6. Their recent games average 48.0 and 43.7 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 37.5 points has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ravensteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers: Baltimore Ravens shade it

The big picture

Carolina Panthers host Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 at Bank of America Stadium. Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Ravens 23.1 and Carolina Panthers 23.2. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -312.

Carolina Panthers form

Carolina Panthers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 461 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Baltimore Ravens form

Baltimore Ravens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Baltimore Ravens to score about 23.1 points and Carolina Panthers about 23.2. That points to Baltimore Ravens to win. Our safest bet is Over 37.5 points at -312.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanthersRavens
Games played2020
Wins911
Losses119
Points scored461462
Points conceded500412
Scored per game23.123.1
Conceded per game25.020.6
Home record4W 5L4W 6L
Away record5W 6L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Panthers to win48%+107-125-12.9%
Ravens to win45%+123+105-8.1%
Panthers -1.544%+130-110-16.9%
Ravens +1.550%+101-110-5.1%
Over 44.5 points51%-103-115-4.9%
Under 44.5 points42%+136-105-17.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Panthers spreadCoversFair
Panthers -7.529%+242
Panthers -3.540%+149
Panthers -0.549%+105
Panthers +2.558%-136
Panthers +6.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
39.570%30%
43.559%41%
46.549%51%
49.540%60%
53.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Panthers +3.5 wins if Panthers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers?

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Baltimore Ravens 23.1 and Carolina Panthers 23.2. Our best bet is Over 37.5 points at -312.

What is the projected score for Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers?

We project Baltimore Ravens 23.1 and Carolina Panthers 23.2, about 46.3 points in total.

How are Carolina Panthers playing?

Carolina Panthers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 461 points scored and 500 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Baltimore Ravens playing?

Baltimore Ravens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 412 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers?

Over 37.5 points at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panthers against Ravens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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