Predictions › United States › Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns
NFLSun 18 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns prediction

Huntington Bank Field

Baltimore RavensAway
22.3 : 19.2
projected points
Cleveland BrownsHome
61%Ravens
39%Browns
Eagle safe pickOver 33.5 points
-288

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baltimore Ravens 22.3 and Cleveland Browns 19.2. Our best bet is Over 33.5 points at -288.

Prediction
Baltimore Ravens to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Baltimore Ravens 22, Cleveland Browns 19
Projected total
41.5 points
Best bet
Over 33.5 points at -288

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 33.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Browns 39% and Baltimore Ravens 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Baltimore Ravens the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Browns won 4 of their last 5 and Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Browns won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Baltimore Ravens won 8 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Browns score 17.9 points a game and let in 22.5. Baltimore Ravens score 24.4 and let in 18.7. Their recent games average 40.4 and 43.0 points in total, and the market line is 40.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cleveland Browns won 0 and Baltimore Ravens won 2. The last one ended Cleveland Browns 16, Baltimore Ravens 23.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 33.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brownsteam news-1%
  • Ravensteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns: Baltimore Ravens are favourites

The big picture

Cleveland Browns host Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Huntington Bank Field. Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baltimore Ravens 22.3 and Cleveland Browns 19.2. Our best bet is Over 33.5 points at -288.

Cleveland Browns form

Cleveland Browns have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 358 points scored and 450 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Baltimore Ravens form

Baltimore Ravens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 487 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cleveland Browns won 0, Baltimore Ravens won 2. Last time out it finished Cleveland Browns 16, Baltimore Ravens 23.

Our call

We expect Baltimore Ravens to score about 22.3 points and Cleveland Browns about 19.2. That points to Baltimore Ravens to win. Our safest bet is Over 33.5 points at -288.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrownsRavens
Games played2020
Wins813
Losses127
Points scored358487
Points conceded450374
Scored per game17.924.4
Conceded per game22.518.7
Home record5W 6L5W 6L
Away record3W 6L8W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Browns to win39%+159+130-11.3%
Ravens to win55%-121-155-10.0%
Browns +2.545%+123-102-11.2%
Ravens -2.548%+107-118-10.6%
Over 40.5 points49%+102-110-5.7%
Under 40.5 points44%+128-110-16.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Browns spreadCoversFair
Browns -3.531%+221
Browns +0.542%+137
Browns +3.551%-104
Browns +6.560%-149
Browns +10.571%-242
Total pointsOverUnder
34.570%30%
38.559%41%
41.550%50%
44.541%59%
48.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Browns +3.5 wins if Browns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns?

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baltimore Ravens 22.3 and Cleveland Browns 19.2. Our best bet is Over 33.5 points at -288.

What is the projected score for Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns?

We project Baltimore Ravens 22.3 and Cleveland Browns 19.2, about 41.5 points in total.

How are Cleveland Browns playing?

Cleveland Browns have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 358 points scored and 450 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Baltimore Ravens playing?

Baltimore Ravens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 487 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens last met?

It ended Cleveland Browns 16, Baltimore Ravens 23. In the last 2 meetings Cleveland Browns won 0 and Baltimore Ravens won 2.

What is the best bet for Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns?

Over 33.5 points at -288, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Browns against Ravens. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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