Predictions › Germany › Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne

BundesligaFri 20 Nov, 19:30 Germany time

Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne prediction

Allianz Arena

Bayern MunichHome

3.85 : 0.94

expected goals

FC CologneAway

87%Bayern

8%Draw

5%Cologne

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne is Bayern Munich to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction: Bayern Munich to win
Chance: 87%
Most likely score: 3-0
Expected goals: Bayern Munich 3.9, FC Cologne 0.9
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

85% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 3-0

8% chanceFair price 12.681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bayern Munich 87%, the draw 8% and FC Cologne 5%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Bayern Munich took 11 points from their last 5 games and FC Cologne took 5 from 5. Bayern Munich come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bayern Munich won 6 of their last 10 games at home. FC Cologne won 0 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Bayern Munich score 3.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. FC Cologne score 1.3 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Bayern Munich games and 13 of FC Cologne games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Bayern Munich won 2 and FC Cologne won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bayern Munich 5, FC Cologne 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bayernrecent form+6%
Colognerecent form-1%
Colognerest between games-2%
Bayernteam news-1%

Bayern form W W D W WCologne form L D W D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne: Bayern Munich are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bayern Munich host FC Cologne in the Bundesliga on Fri 20 Nov, 19:30 at Allianz Arena. Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne is Bayern Munich to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.17.

Bayern Munich form

Bayern Munich have 12 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, D, newest first.

FC Cologne form

FC Cologne have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bayern Munich won 2, FC Cologne won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bayern Munich 5, FC Cologne 1.

Our call

We expect Bayern Munich to score about 3.9 goals and FC Cologne about 0.9. That points to Bayern Munich to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 3-0 at 12.68.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bayern	Cologne
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	3
Draws	7	8
Losses	1	9
Goals scored	63	26
Goals conceded	29	38
Scored per game	3.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Home record	6W 4D 0L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	6W 3D 1L	0W 5D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	5%
Both teams scored	75%	85%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	95%	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	86%	1.17
Over 3.5 goals	70%	1.42
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Bayern Munich or Draw	95%	1.05
FC Cologne or Draw	13%	7.70
Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.5	78%	1.28
FC Cologne to win and Over 2.5	4%	27.37
Bayern Munich clean sheet	39%	2.57
FC Cologne clean sheet	2%	46.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-07.9%

4-07.6%

3-17.5%

4-17.2%

2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Manuel Neuer Faces Foot Injury Layoff After Milestone Bayern Victory

Bayern Munich goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is out with a right foot injury sustained during Saturday's 2-1 victory against Mainz.

8 Nov 2026

Premier League

Bayern Target Ngumoha Again as Top Clubs Eye Suzuki and Ramon

Bayern Munich remain focused on Liverpool winger Rio Ngumoha, while European giants target Aston Villa goalkeeper Zion Suzuki.

7 Nov 2026

Bundesliga

Vincent Kompany Progresses Toward Recovery After Health Scare

Bayern Munich coach Vincent Kompany is making progress toward a full recovery after collapsing in training two weeks ago.

6 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne?

Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne is Bayern Munich to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 4-0 and 3-1. We expect Bayern Munich to score 3.9 goals and FC Cologne 0.9.

Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Bayern Munich last 20 games and 17 of FC Cologne last 20.

How are Bayern Munich playing?

How are FC Cologne playing?

What happened when Bayern Munich and FC Cologne last met?

It ended Bayern Munich 5, FC Cologne 1. In the last 2 meetings Bayern Munich won 2 and FC Cologne won 0.

What is the best bet for Bayern Munich vs FC Cologne?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bayern against Cologne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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