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Predictions › United States › Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction

Mountain America Stadium

Baylor BearsAway
23.3 : 27.7
projected points
Arizona State Sun DevilsHome
39%Baylor
61%Arizona St
Eagle safe pickArizona St +6.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baylor Bears 23.3 and Arizona State Sun Devils 27.7. Our best bet is Arizona St +6.5 at -306.

Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Baylor Bears 23, Arizona State Sun Devils 28
Projected total
50.9 points
Best bet
Arizona St +6.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arizona St +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arizona State Sun Devils 61% and Baylor Bears 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Arizona State Sun Devils the favourite at -192.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 2 of their last 5 and Baylor Bears won 3 of their last 5. Baylor Bears come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arizona State Sun Devils won 5 of their last 7 games at home. Baylor Bears won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arizona State Sun Devils score 27.9 points a game and let in 24.8. Baylor Bears score 30.0 and let in 25.7. Their recent games average 52.7 and 55.7 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arizona State Sun Devils won 1 and Baylor Bears won 0. The last one ended Baylor Bears 24, Arizona State Sun Devils 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Arizona St +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Baylorrest between games-5%
  • Baylorteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils: Arizona State Sun Devils are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arizona State Sun Devils host Baylor Bears in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 22:30 at Mountain America Stadium. Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baylor Bears 23.3 and Arizona State Sun Devils 27.7. Our best bet is Arizona St +6.5 at -306.

Arizona State Sun Devils form

Arizona State Sun Devils have 9 wins and 5 losses in their last 14 games, with 391 points scored and 347 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Baylor Bears form

Baylor Bears have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 420 points scored and 360 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arizona State Sun Devils won 1, Baylor Bears won 0. Last time out it finished Baylor Bears 24, Arizona State Sun Devils 27.

Our call

We expect Baylor Bears to score about 23.3 points and Arizona State Sun Devils about 27.7. That points to Arizona State Sun Devils to win. Our safest bet is Arizona St +6.5 at -306.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Arizona StBaylor
Games played1414
Wins97
Losses57
Points scored391420
Points conceded347360
Scored per game27.930.0
Conceded per game24.825.7
Home record5W 2L6W 3L
Away record4W 3L1W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Arizona St to win61%-156-192-7.3%
Baylor to win35%+186+160-9.1%
Arizona St -3.549%+103-115-8.0%
Baylor +3.545%+125-105-13.1%
Over 50.5 points48%+108-115-10.3%
Under 50.5 points46%+118-105-10.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Arizona St spreadCoversFair
Arizona St -11.533%+203
Arizona St -7.542%+136
Arizona St -4.550%+101
Arizona St -1.557%-134
Arizona St +2.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.559%41%
50.551%49%
53.544%56%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arizona St +3.5 wins if Arizona St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Baylor Quarterback DJ Lagway Expected to Return Against Colorado

Baylor quarterback DJ Lagway is expected to return from an ankle injury this Saturday to face Colorado.

24 Sept 2026
College Football

ASU Coach Questions Rest Disparity Before London Game

Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham expressed frustration over scheduling differences ahead of the historic Wembley Stadium matchup against Kansas.

15 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Our prediction for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils is Arizona State Sun Devils to win, with a 61% chance. We project Baylor Bears 23.3 and Arizona State Sun Devils 27.7. Our best bet is Arizona St +6.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

We project Baylor Bears 23.3 and Arizona State Sun Devils 27.7, about 50.9 points in total.

How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?

Arizona State Sun Devils have 9 wins and 5 losses in their last 14 games, with 391 points scored and 347 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Baylor Bears playing?

Baylor Bears have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 420 points scored and 360 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Arizona State Sun Devils and Baylor Bears last met?

It ended Baylor Bears 24, Arizona State Sun Devils 27. In the last 1 meeting Arizona State Sun Devils won 1 and Baylor Bears won 0.

What is the best bet for Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun Devils?

Arizona St +6.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arizona St against Baylor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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