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Predictions › United Kingdom › Birmingham City vs Millwall
ChampionshipTue 3 Nov, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Birmingham City vs Millwall prediction

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham CityHome
1.69 : 1.06
expected goals
MillwallAway
51%Birmingham
26%Draw
23%Millwall
Eagle safe pickBirmingham City or Draw
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Millwall is Birmingham City to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 3/10.

Prediction
Birmingham City to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Birmingham City 1.7, Millwall 1.1
Best bet
Birmingham City or Draw at 3/10
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Birmingham City or Draw
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 11/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Birmingham City 51%, the draw 26% and Millwall 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Birmingham City took 10 points from their last 5 games and Millwall took 5 from 5. Birmingham City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Birmingham City won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Millwall won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Birmingham City score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Millwall score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Birmingham City games and 10 of Millwall games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Birmingham City won 1 and Millwall won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Millwall 3, Birmingham City 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Birmingham City or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Birminghamrecent form+3%
  • Birminghamrest between games-5%
  • Millwallrest between games-5%
Birmingham form L W W W DMillwall form D D L W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Birmingham City vs Millwall: Birmingham City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Birmingham City host Millwall in the Championship on Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 at St. Andrew's Stadium. Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Millwall is Birmingham City to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 3/10.

Birmingham City form

Birmingham City have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Millwall form

Millwall have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Birmingham City won 1, Millwall won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Millwall 3, Birmingham City 0.

Our call

We expect Birmingham City to score about 1.7 goals and Millwall about 1.1. That points to Birmingham City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 3/10. Our bold bet is Birmingham City to win and Over 2.5 at 11/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BirminghamMillwall
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws76
Losses47
Goals scored3127
Goals conceded2426
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.21.3
Home record5W 4D 1L3W 2D 4L
Away record4W 3D 3L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%12/5
Both teams to score54%5/6
Birmingham City or Draw77%3/10
Millwall or Draw49%21/20
Birmingham City to win and Over 2.532%85/40
Millwall to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Birmingham City clean sheet35%15/8
Millwall clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-010.2%
2-19.7%
2-09.2%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

Massive Police Presence Set for Millwall and West Ham Derby

Police are deploying 400 officers and facial recognition technology for the first Dockers Derby in 14 years.

19 Sept 2026
Championship

Millwall and West Ham ready to renew historic London rivalry at The Den

One of English football's most intense rivalries returns this weekend as Millwall host West Ham at The Den for their 100th meeting.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Our prediction for Birmingham City vs Millwall is Birmingham City to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Birmingham City or Draw at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Birmingham City vs Millwall?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Birmingham City to score 1.7 goals and Millwall 1.1.

Will both teams score in Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Birmingham City last 20 games and 9 of Millwall last 20.

How are Birmingham City playing?

Birmingham City have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Birmingham City and Millwall last met?

It ended Millwall 3, Birmingham City 0. In the last 2 meetings Birmingham City won 1 and Millwall won 1.

What is the best bet for Birmingham City vs Millwall?

Birmingham City or Draw at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Birmingham against Millwall. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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