Predictions › Italy › Bologna vs Internazionale

Serie ASat 17 Oct, 16:00 Italy time

Bologna vs Internazionale prediction

Renato Dall'Ara

BolognaHome

1.00 : 1.94

expected goals

InternazionaleAway

18%Bologna

23%Draw

59%Inter Milan

Eagle safe pickInternazionale or Draw

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Bologna vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Internazionale or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction: Internazionale to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Bologna 1.0, Internazionale 1.9
Best bet: Internazionale or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Internazionale or Draw

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and Over 2.5

37% chanceFair price 2.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Bologna 18%, the draw 23% and Internazionale 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Internazionale the favourite at 1.61.
2
Recent form
Bologna took 2 points from their last 5 games and Internazionale took 10 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Bologna won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Internazionale won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Bologna score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Internazionale score 2.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Bologna games and 12 of Internazionale games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Bologna won 0 and Internazionale won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Bologna 3, Internazionale 3.
6
The safest bet
Internazionale or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Bolognarecent form-4%
Inter Milanrecent form+3%

Bologna form D L D L LInter Milan form D W L W WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Bologna vs Internazionale: Internazionale are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Bologna host Internazionale in the Serie A on Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 at Renato Dall'Ara. Our prediction for Bologna vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Internazionale or Draw at 1.26.

Bologna form

Bologna have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bologna won 0, Internazionale won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Bologna 3, Internazionale 3.

Our call

We expect Bologna to score about 1.0 goals and Internazionale about 1.9. That points to Internazionale to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Internazionale or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and Over 2.5 at 2.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bologna	Inter Milan
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	9	3
Goals scored	22	46
Goals conceded	31	26
Scored per game	1.1	2.3
Conceded per game	1.6	1.3
Home record	1W 5D 5L	7W 2D 1L
Away record	5W 0D 4L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Bologna to win	18%	5.59	4.60	-17.7%
A Draw	23%	4.42	3.85	-13.0%
Internazionale to win	55%	1.82	1.61	-11.8%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.89	1.63	-14.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40%	2.48	2.15	-13.3%
Bologna +0.5	39%	2.56	2.15	-16.0%
Internazionale -0.5	54%	1.85	1.57	-14.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.78
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.95
Both teams to score	55%	1.83
Bologna or Draw	41%	2.43
Internazionale or Draw	82%	1.22
Bologna to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.13
Internazionale to win and Over 2.5	39%	2.55
Bologna clean sheet	14%	6.98
Internazionale clean sheet	37%	2.71

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%

0-210.0%

1-29.9%

0-19.7%

0-36.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Serie A

Inter Milan Legend Sandro Mazzola Passes Away at 83

Inter Milan and Italy legend Sandro Mazzola has died at 83, leaving behind an incredible legacy as a one club icon.

19 Sept 2026

Serie A

AC Milan and Inter Prepare to Say Goodbye to the Iconic San Siro

As the iconic San Siro celebrates its 100th anniversary, AC Milan and Inter are preparing to build a brand new home.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Bologna vs Internazionale?

Our prediction for Bologna vs Internazionale is Internazionale to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Internazionale or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Bologna vs Internazionale?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-2. We expect Bologna to score 1.0 goals and Internazionale 1.9.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Internazionale?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Bologna last 20 games and 13 of Internazionale last 20.

How are Bologna playing?

How are Internazionale playing?

What happened when Bologna and Internazionale last met?

It ended Bologna 3, Internazionale 3. In the last 2 meetings Bologna won 0 and Internazionale won 1.

What is the best bet for Bologna vs Internazionale?

Internazionale or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bologna against Inter Milan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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