Predictions › United States › Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLWed 18 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Boston BruinsAway
3.2 : 3.0
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
57%Bruins
43%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-461

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings is Boston Bruins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -461.

Prediction
Boston Bruins to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Boston Bruins 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -461

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4612 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Wings to win
43% chanceFair price +1321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 43% and Boston Bruins 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 1 of their last 5 and Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 5. Boston Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 5 of their last 12 games at home. Boston Bruins won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 2.7 goals a game and let in 3.1. Boston Bruins score 3.5 and let in 2.3. Their recent games average 5.8 and 5.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 1 and Boston Bruins won 3. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 2, Boston Bruins 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-2%
  • Bruinsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings: Boston Bruins shade it

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host Boston Bruins in the NHL on Wed 18 Nov, 19:30 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings is Boston Bruins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -461.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 62 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Boston Bruins form

Boston Bruins have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 1, Boston Bruins won 3. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 2, Boston Bruins 4.

Our call

We expect Boston Bruins to score about 3.2 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 3.0. That points to Boston Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -461. Our bold bet is Red Wings to win at +132.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsBruins
Games played2020
Wins813
Losses127
Goals scored5470
Goals conceded6246
Scored per game2.73.5
Conceded per game3.12.3
Home record5W 7L8W 1L
Away record3W 5L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -0.538%+163
Red Wings +0.554%-119
Red Wings +1.570%-235
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings is Boston Bruins to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -461.

What is the projected score for Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project Boston Bruins 3.2 and Detroit Red Wings 3.0, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 54 goals scored and 62 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Boston Bruins playing?

Boston Bruins have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and Boston Bruins last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 2, Boston Bruins 4. In the last 4 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 1 and Boston Bruins won 3.

What is the best bet for Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings?

Under 8 goals at -461, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Bruins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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