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Predictions › United States › Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets
NBAWed 18 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Boston CelticsAway
116.9 : 111.7
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
67%Celtics
33%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets +13.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets is Boston Celtics to win, with a 67% chance. We project Boston Celtics 116.9 and Denver Nuggets 111.7. Our best bet is Nuggets +13.5 at -307.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 117, Denver Nuggets 112
Projected total
228.5 points
Best bet
Nuggets +13.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets +13.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Nuggets to win
33% chanceFair price +2051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 33% and Boston Celtics 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 4 of their last 5. Boston Celtics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Boston Celtics won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 112.3 points a game and let in 112.9. Boston Celtics score 114.0 and let in 105.5. Their recent games average 225.2 and 219.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 2 and Boston Celtics won 0. The last one ended Denver Nuggets 103, Boston Celtics 84.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets +13.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-5%
  • Celticsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets: Boston Celtics are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Wed 18 Nov, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets is Boston Celtics to win, with a 67% chance. We project Boston Celtics 116.9 and Denver Nuggets 111.7. Our best bet is Nuggets +13.5 at -307.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2258 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2110 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 2, Boston Celtics won 0. Last time out it finished Denver Nuggets 103, Boston Celtics 84.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 116.9 points and Denver Nuggets about 111.7. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets +13.5 at -307. Our bold bet is Nuggets to win at +205.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsCeltics
Games played2020
Wins1014
Losses106
Points scored22452280
Points conceded22582110
Scored per game112.3114.0
Conceded per game112.9105.5
Home record5W 4L7W 3L
Away record5W 6L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -0.532%+209
Nuggets +2.541%+142
Nuggets +5.551%-104
Nuggets +8.560%-152
Nuggets +11.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
222.563%37%
225.557%43%
228.550%50%
231.543%57%
234.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Nuggets Face Travel Chaos and Questionable Starters Before Houston Game

Plane delays in Mexico City have left the Denver Nuggets listing their main players as questionable for Monday's matchup with the Rockets.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Jaylen Brown On Off Stats Tell Complicated Story

Jaylen Brown faces his former team as analysts look at the gap between his box score numbers and on off statistics.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Slow Start for Nikola Jokic Leaves Denver Nuggets Seeking Answers

Nikola Jokic has struggled early this season, exposing roster flaws for the Denver Nuggets.

5 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets is Boston Celtics to win, with a 67% chance. We project Boston Celtics 116.9 and Denver Nuggets 111.7. Our best bet is Nuggets +13.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Boston Celtics 116.9 and Denver Nuggets 111.7, about 228.5 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2258 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2110 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Denver Nuggets 103, Boston Celtics 84. In the last 2 meetings Denver Nuggets won 2 and Boston Celtics won 0.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets +13.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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