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Predictions › United States › Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons
NBATue 20 Oct, 15:00 United States time

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Boston CelticsAway
109.4 : 110.3
projected points
Detroit PistonsHome
50%Celtics
50%Pistons
Eagle safe pickCeltics +9.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons is Boston Celtics to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Celtics 109.4 and Detroit Pistons 110.3. Our best bet is Celtics +9.5 at -306.

Prediction
Boston Celtics to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Boston Celtics 109, Detroit Pistons 110
Projected total
219.7 points
Best bet
Celtics +9.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtics +9.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Pistons 50% and Boston Celtics 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Detroit Pistons the favourite at -125, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Pistons won 2 of their last 5 and Boston Celtics won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Pistons won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Boston Celtics won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Pistons score 109.0 points a game and let in 106.1. Boston Celtics score 113.8 and let in 106.7. Their recent games average 215.2 and 220.6 points in total, and the market line is 220.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Detroit Pistons won 3 and Boston Celtics won 1. The last one ended Detroit Pistons 104, Boston Celtics 103.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtics +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pistonsrest between games-5%
  • Celticsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons: Boston Celtics shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Pistons host Boston Celtics in the NBA on Tue 20 Oct, 15:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons is Boston Celtics to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Celtics 109.4 and Detroit Pistons 110.3. Our best bet is Celtics +9.5 at -306.

Detroit Pistons form

Detroit Pistons have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2181 points scored and 2122 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Boston Celtics form

Boston Celtics have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2277 points scored and 2134 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Detroit Pistons won 3, Boston Celtics won 1. Last time out it finished Detroit Pistons 104, Boston Celtics 103.

Our call

We expect Boston Celtics to score about 109.4 points and Detroit Pistons about 110.3. That points to Boston Celtics to win. Our safest bet is Celtics +9.5 at -306.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PistonsCeltics
Games played2020
Wins1113
Losses97
Points scored21812277
Points conceded21222134
Scored per game109.0113.8
Conceded per game106.1106.7
Home record7W 3L7W 4L
Away record4W 6L6W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Pistons to win50%+101-125-10.3%
Celtics to win45%+125+105-8.8%
Pistons -1.545%+120-115-15.1%
Celtics +1.549%+104-105-4.4%
Over 220.5 points46%+119-110-13.0%
Under 220.5 points49%+105-110-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Pistons spreadCoversFair
Pistons -6.533%+207
Pistons -3.542%+140
Pistons -0.551%-105
Pistons +2.561%-153
Pistons +5.569%-227
Total pointsOverUnder
213.563%37%
216.557%43%
219.550%50%
222.544%56%
225.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pistons +3.5 wins if Pistons win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Detroit Pistons Sign Jalen Duren to $200 Million Deal After Tense Offseason

Jalen Duren and the Detroit Pistons agreed to a five year, $200 million contract extension following months of difficult negotiations.

9 Oct 2026
NBA

Detroit Pistons Secure Ausar Thompson With Huge New Extension

The Detroit Pistons have locked down defensive star Ausar Thompson with a five year, $155 million contract extension.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons?

Our prediction for Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons is Boston Celtics to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Boston Celtics 109.4 and Detroit Pistons 110.3. Our best bet is Celtics +9.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons?

We project Boston Celtics 109.4 and Detroit Pistons 110.3, about 219.7 points in total.

How are Detroit Pistons playing?

Detroit Pistons have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2181 points scored and 2122 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Boston Celtics playing?

Boston Celtics have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2277 points scored and 2134 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Pistons and Boston Celtics last met?

It ended Detroit Pistons 104, Boston Celtics 103. In the last 4 meetings Detroit Pistons won 3 and Boston Celtics won 1.

What is the best bet for Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons?

Celtics +9.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pistons against Celtics. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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