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Predictions › United Kingdom › Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace
Premier LeagueSun 18 Oct, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace prediction

American Express Stadium

Brighton & Hove AlbionHome
1.96 : 1.03
expected goals
Crystal PalaceAway
59%Brighton
23%Draw
19%C Palace
Eagle safe pickBrighton & Hove Albion or Draw
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 2/7.

Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Brighton & Hove Albion 2.0, Crystal Palace 1.0
Best bet
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 2/7
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw
79% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brighton & Hove Albion 59%, the draw 23% and Crystal Palace 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 8/13.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brighton & Hove Albion took 10 points from their last 5 games and Crystal Palace took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brighton & Hove Albion won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Crystal Palace won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brighton & Hove Albion score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.1. Crystal Palace score 1.6 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Brighton & Hove Albion games and 16 of Crystal Palace games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Brighton & Hove Albion won 0 and Crystal Palace won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Brighton & Hove Albion 0, Crystal Palace 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brightonrecent form+3%
  • C Palacerecent form+3%
Brighton form W W W D LC Palace form D W L W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brighton & Hove Albion host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 at American Express Stadium. Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 2/7.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brighton & Hove Albion won 0, Crystal Palace won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Brighton & Hove Albion 0, Crystal Palace 1.

Our call

We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to score about 2.0 goals and Crystal Palace about 1.0. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 2/7. Our bold bet is Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BrightonC Palace
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws24
Losses78
Goals scored3731
Goals conceded2331
Scored per game1.91.6
Conceded per game1.11.6
Home record6W 1D 2L6W 2D 3L
Away record5W 1D 5L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets40%30%
Both teams scored35%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Brighton & Hove Albion to win55%5/68/13-11.2%
A Draw22%7/210/3-6.2%
Crystal Palace to win18%9/27/2-14.5%
Over 2.5 goals55%5/64/7-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals38%13/85/4-12.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion -0.554%5/64/7-15.5%
Crystal Palace +0.539%8/511/10-16.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1/4
Over 2.5 goals57%8/11
Over 3.5 goals35%15/8
Both teams to score56%4/5
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw81%2/9
Crystal Palace or Draw41%7/5
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.540%6/4
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.511%15/2
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet36%9/5
Crystal Palace clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-110.0%
2-09.7%
1-09.3%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Arteta puts past feud aside as Arsenal look to equal club record

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta says his past dispute with Brighton boss Fabian Hurzeler is over as the Gunners target an eighth straight win.

18 Sept 2026
Premier League

Brighton Must Stay Humble After Historic Win Ahead of Arsenal Clash

Brighton manager Fabian Hürzeler wants his players to stay humble after making history with a 3-2 comeback win against Manchester United.

17 Sept 2026
Premier League

Coventry Search For First Victory As Manchester Derby Takes Center Stage

Newly promoted Coventry City hunt for their first win against Brighton while Manchester United host rivals Manchester City.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to score 2.0 goals and Crystal Palace 1.0.

Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20 games and 11 of Crystal Palace last 20.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

Crystal Palace have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace last met?

It ended Brighton & Hove Albion 0, Crystal Palace 1. In the last 2 meetings Brighton & Hove Albion won 0 and Crystal Palace won 1.

What is the best bet for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?

Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 2/7, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brighton against C Palace. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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