Predictions › Conference League › Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris

Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris prediction

American Express Stadium

Brighton & Hove AlbionHome

4.10 : 0.76

expected goals

Kauno ZalgirisAway

91%Brighton

6%Draw

3%Kauno Zalgiris

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 91% chance. The most likely score is 4-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance: 91%
Most likely score: 4-0
Expected goals: Brighton & Hove Albion 4.1, Kauno Zalgiris 0.8
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and both score

43% chanceFair price 2.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Brighton & Hove Albion 91%, the draw 6% and Kauno Zalgiris 3%. The bookmakers agree and make Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 1.02.
2
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Brightonrecent form+3%
Kauno Zalgirisrecent form-1%

Brighton form W W W D LKauno Zalgiris form W L L L WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris: Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Brighton & Hove Albion host Kauno Zalgiris in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at American Express Stadium. Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 91% chance. The most likely score is 4-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.19.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Kauno Zalgiris form

Kauno Zalgiris have no recent games in our records yet.

Our call

We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to score about 4.1 goals and Kauno Zalgiris about 0.8. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 4-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Brighton & Hove Albion to win and both score at 2.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Brighton	Kauno Zalgiris
Games played	20	n/a
Wins	11	n/a
Draws	2	n/a
Losses	7	n/a
Goals scored	37	n/a
Goals conceded	23	n/a
Scored per game	1.9	n/a
Conceded per game	1.1	n/a
Home record	6W 1D 2L	n/a
Away record	5W 1D 5L	n/a
Clean sheets	40%	n/a
Both teams scored	35%	n/a
Over 2.5 goals	65%	n/a

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Brighton & Hove Albion to win	89%	1.13	1.02	-9.2%
A Draw	4%	24.15	17.00	-29.6%
Kauno Zalgiris to win	1%	100.00	29.00	-71.0%
Over 4.5 goals	43%	2.30	2.15	-6.6%
Under 4.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.63	-17.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion -3.5	44%	2.28	1.91	-16.4%
Kauno Zalgiris +3.5	51%	1.97	1.71	-13.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	96%	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	86%	1.16
Over 3.5 goals	71%	1.40
Both teams to score	52%	1.90
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw	97%	1.03
Kauno Zalgiris or Draw	9%	11.26
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5	82%	1.23
Kauno Zalgiris to win and Over 2.5	2%	49.24
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet	47%	2.14
Kauno Zalgiris clean sheet	2%	60.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

4-09.2%

3-08.9%

5-07.5%

4-17.0%

3-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Arteta puts past feud aside as Arsenal look to equal club record

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta says his past dispute with Brighton boss Fabian Hurzeler is over as the Gunners target an eighth straight win.

18 Sept 2026

Premier League

Brighton Must Stay Humble After Historic Win Ahead of Arsenal Clash

Brighton manager Fabian Hürzeler wants his players to stay humble after making history with a 3-2 comeback win against Manchester United.

17 Sept 2026

Premier League

Coventry Search For First Victory As Manchester Derby Takes Center Stage

Newly promoted Coventry City hunt for their first win against Brighton while Manchester United host rivals Manchester City.

13 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Our prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 91% chance. The most likely score is 4-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris?

4-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 5-0. We expect Brighton & Hove Albion to score 4.1 goals and Kauno Zalgiris 0.8.

Will both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

What is the best bet for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Brighton against Kauno Zalgiris. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.