EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets
NFLSun 15 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction

MetLife Stadium

Buffalo BillsAway
29.2 : 21.3
projected points
New York JetsHome
76%Bills
24%Jets
Eagle safe pickBills to win
-410

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 76% chance. We project Buffalo Bills 29.2 and New York Jets 21.3. Our best bet is Bills to win at -410.

Prediction
Buffalo Bills to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Buffalo Bills 29, New York Jets 21
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
Bills to win at -410

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bills to win
76% chancePrice -4101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Jets 24% and Buffalo Bills 76%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Bills the favourite at -410.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Jets won 1 of their last 5 and Buffalo Bills won 4 of their last 5. Buffalo Bills come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Jets won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Buffalo Bills won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Jets score 17.1 points a game and let in 25.9. Buffalo Bills score 30.6 and let in 22.7. Their recent games average 42.9 and 53.3 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New York Jets won 0 and Buffalo Bills won 2. The last one ended Buffalo Bills 35, New York Jets 8.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bills to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets: Buffalo Bills are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Jets host Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 76% chance. We project Buffalo Bills 29.2 and New York Jets 21.3. Our best bet is Bills to win at -410.

New York Jets form

New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 517 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Buffalo Bills form

Buffalo Bills have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 611 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New York Jets won 0, Buffalo Bills won 2. Last time out it finished Buffalo Bills 35, New York Jets 8.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Bills to score about 29.2 points and New York Jets about 21.3. That points to Buffalo Bills to win. Our safest bet is Bills to win at -410.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JetsBills
Games played2020
Wins516
Losses154
Points scored341611
Points conceded517454
Scored per game17.130.6
Conceded per game25.922.7
Home record3W 7L8W 2L
Away record2W 8L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Jets to win24%+322+320-0.4%
Bills to win76%-323-410-5.0%
Jets +7.545%+120-110-13.2%
Bills -7.547%+111-110-9.5%
Over 50.5 points46%+116-110-11.5%
Under 50.5 points46%+115-110-11.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jets spreadCoversFair
Jets +0.529%+244
Jets +4.540%+150
Jets +7.549%+105
Jets +10.558%-135
Jets +14.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
43.570%30%
47.559%41%
50.550%50%
53.541%59%
57.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Carson Wentz Starts for Vikings as Kyler Murray Sits Out

Carson Wentz will start at quarterback for Minnesota against Buffalo after Kyler Murray suffered a hamstring injury.

2 hours ago
NFL

Bills Cut Safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson After Suspension

The Buffalo Bills have released safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson following his one-game suspension for a spitting incident.

3 Nov 2026
NFL

Jets Head Coach Aaron Glenn Remains Confident Despite 2-6 Start

Aaron Glenn insists he is not worried about his job security despite the New York Jets dropping three games in a row.

2 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Our prediction for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 76% chance. We project Buffalo Bills 29.2 and New York Jets 21.3. Our best bet is Bills to win at -410.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

We project Buffalo Bills 29.2 and New York Jets 21.3, about 50.5 points in total.

How are New York Jets playing?

New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 517 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Buffalo Bills playing?

Buffalo Bills have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 611 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when New York Jets and Buffalo Bills last met?

It ended Buffalo Bills 35, New York Jets 8. In the last 2 meetings New York Jets won 0 and Buffalo Bills won 2.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Bills to win at -410, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Bills. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.