Predictions › United States › Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks
NHLThu 12 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction

United Center

Buffalo SabresAway
3.7 : 2.6
projected goals
Chicago BlackhawksHome
71%Sabres
29%Blackhawks
Eagle safe pickBlackhawks +3
-442

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 71% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.6. Our best bet is Blackhawks +3 at -442.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Buffalo Sabres 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Blackhawks +3 at -442

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blackhawks +3
82% chanceFair price -4422 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Blackhawks to win
29% chanceFair price +2401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Blackhawks 29% and Buffalo Sabres 71%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Blackhawks won 1 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 3 of their last 5. Buffalo Sabres come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Blackhawks won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Blackhawks score 2.3 goals a game and let in 3.5. Buffalo Sabres score 3.1 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 5.8 and 6.4 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Chicago Blackhawks won 0 and Buffalo Sabres won 3. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Blackhawks +3 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackhawksrest between games-2%
  • Sabresrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks: Buffalo Sabres are favourites

The big picture

Chicago Blackhawks host Buffalo Sabres in the NHL on Thu 12 Nov, 20:00 at United Center. Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 71% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.6. Our best bet is Blackhawks +3 at -442.

Chicago Blackhawks form

Chicago Blackhawks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Chicago Blackhawks won 0, Buffalo Sabres won 3. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Sabres to score about 3.7 goals and Chicago Blackhawks about 2.6. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Blackhawks +3 at -442. Our bold bet is Blackhawks to win at +240.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BlackhawksSabres
Games played2020
Wins79
Losses1311
Goals scored4662
Goals conceded6966
Scored per game2.33.1
Conceded per game3.53.3
Home record7W 5L4W 5L
Away record0W 8L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Blackhawks spreadCoversFair
Blackhawks +0.540%+150
Blackhawks +1.557%-130
Blackhawks +2.572%-257
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.546%54%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blackhawks +3.5 wins if Blackhawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 71% chance. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.6. Our best bet is Blackhawks +3 at -442.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks?

We project Buffalo Sabres 3.7 and Chicago Blackhawks 2.6, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Chicago Blackhawks playing?

Chicago Blackhawks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Blackhawks and Buffalo Sabres last met?

It ended Buffalo Sabres 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3. In the last 3 meetings Chicago Blackhawks won 0 and Buffalo Sabres won 3.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Sabres vs Chicago Blackhawks?

Blackhawks +3 at -442, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blackhawks against Sabres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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