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NHLSat 21 Nov, 18:00 United States time

Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers prediction

Amerant Bank Arena

Buffalo SabresAway
3.5 : 3.4
projected goals
Florida PanthersHome
55%Sabres
45%Panthers
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-446

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.5 and Florida Panthers 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -446.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Buffalo Sabres 3, Florida Panthers 3
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -446

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
82% chanceFair price -4462 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida Panthers 45% and Buffalo Sabres 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida Panthers won 2 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 3 of their last 5. Buffalo Sabres come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida Panthers won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida Panthers score 3.1 goals a game and let in 3.0. Buffalo Sabres score 2.9 and let in 3.2. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Florida Panthers won 1 and Buffalo Sabres won 4. The last one ended Buffalo Sabres 5, Florida Panthers 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panthersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers: Buffalo Sabres shade it

The big picture

Florida Panthers host Buffalo Sabres in the NHL on Sat 21 Nov, 18:00 at Amerant Bank Arena. Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.5 and Florida Panthers 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -446.

Florida Panthers form

Florida Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Florida Panthers won 1, Buffalo Sabres won 4. Last time out it finished Buffalo Sabres 5, Florida Panthers 3.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Sabres to score about 3.5 goals and Florida Panthers about 3.4. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -446.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanthersSabres
Games played2020
Wins109
Losses1011
Goals scored6258
Goals conceded5964
Scored per game3.12.9
Conceded per game3.03.2
Home record4W 3L5W 6L
Away record6W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Panthers spreadCoversFair
Panthers -0.540%+149
Panthers +0.557%-130
Panthers +1.572%-257
Total goalsOverUnder
5.572%28%
6.555%45%
7.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Panthers +3.5 wins if Panthers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers?

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.5 and Florida Panthers 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -446.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers?

We project Buffalo Sabres 3.5 and Florida Panthers 3.4, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Florida Panthers playing?

Florida Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 62 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Florida Panthers and Buffalo Sabres last met?

It ended Buffalo Sabres 5, Florida Panthers 3. In the last 5 meetings Florida Panthers won 1 and Buffalo Sabres won 4.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers?

Over 5 goals at -446, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panthers against Sabres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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