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Predictions › United States › Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals
NHLThu 19 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals prediction

Capital One Arena

Buffalo SabresAway
3.3 : 3.4
projected goals
Washington CapitalsHome
53%Sabres
47%Capitals
Eagle safe pickSabres +2
-459

Quick answer

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.3 and Washington Capitals 3.4. Our best bet is Sabres +2 at -459.

Prediction
Buffalo Sabres to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Buffalo Sabres 3, Washington Capitals 3
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Sabres +2 at -459

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sabres +2
82% chanceFair price -4592 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Capitals 47% and Buffalo Sabres 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Capitals won 3 of their last 5 and Buffalo Sabres won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Capitals won 9 of their last 13 games at home. Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Capitals score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.0. Buffalo Sabres score 2.9 and let in 3.2. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.1 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Washington Capitals won 3 and Buffalo Sabres won 1. The last one ended Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sabres +2 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabresrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals: Buffalo Sabres shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Capitals host Buffalo Sabres in the NHL on Thu 19 Nov, 19:00 at Capital One Arena. Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.3 and Washington Capitals 3.4. Our best bet is Sabres +2 at -459.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Washington Capitals won 3, Buffalo Sabres won 1. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3.

Our call

We expect Buffalo Sabres to score about 3.3 goals and Washington Capitals about 3.4. That points to Buffalo Sabres to win. Our safest bet is Sabres +2 at -459.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CapitalsSabres
Games played2020
Wins139
Losses711
Goals scored7058
Goals conceded6064
Scored per game3.52.9
Conceded per game3.03.2
Home record9W 4L5W 6L
Away record4W 3L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Capitals spreadCoversFair
Capitals -1.527%+264
Capitals -0.543%+134
Capitals +0.559%-146
Total goalsOverUnder
5.570%30%
6.554%46%
7.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Capitals +3.5 wins if Capitals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Los Angeles Kings Earn First Victory of Season Against Washington

The Los Angeles Kings picked up their first win of the season by defeating the Washington Capitals 5-2 on Tuesday night.

21 Oct 2026
NHL

Rasmus Dahlin Leaves Early With Injury Against Florida

Buffalo captain Rasmus Dahlin left Monday with an injury. Florida also saw goalie Jacob Markstrom exit early.

12 Oct 2026
NHL

Ovechkin Starts Final NHL Season with Special Family Moment

Alex Ovechkin celebrated his final home opener with his sons and a 5-3 win over rival Sidney Crosby and the Penguins.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals?

Our prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals is Buffalo Sabres to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Buffalo Sabres 3.3 and Washington Capitals 3.4. Our best bet is Sabres +2 at -459.

What is the projected score for Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals?

We project Buffalo Sabres 3.3 and Washington Capitals 3.4, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 64 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Capitals and Buffalo Sabres last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 4, Buffalo Sabres 3. In the last 4 meetings Washington Capitals won 3 and Buffalo Sabres won 1.

What is the best bet for Buffalo Sabres vs Washington Capitals?

Sabres +2 at -459, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Capitals against Sabres. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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