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Predictions › United Kingdom › Burnley vs Portsmouth
ChampionshipSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction

Turf Moor

BurnleyHome
1.38 : 1.30
expected goals
PortsmouthAway
38%Burnley
27%Draw
34%Portsmouth
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Burnley vs Portsmouth is Burnley to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Burnley to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Burnley 1.4, Portsmouth 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Burnley 38%, the draw 27% and Portsmouth 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Burnley took 5 points from their last 5 games and Portsmouth took 8 from 5. Portsmouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Burnley won 0 of their last 11 games at home. Portsmouth won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Burnley score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.8. Portsmouth score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Burnley games and 9 of Portsmouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Portsmouthrecent form+1%
  • Portsmouthrest between games-5%
Burnley form D D W D LPortsmouth form D W W L DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Burnley vs Portsmouth: Burnley shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Burnley host Portsmouth in the Championship on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Turf Moor. Our prediction for Burnley vs Portsmouth is Burnley to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Burnley form

Burnley have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Burnley to score about 1.4 goals and Portsmouth about 1.3. That points to Burnley to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BurnleyPortsmouth
Games played2020
Wins18
Draws96
Losses106
Goals scored2227
Goals conceded3627
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record0W 7D 4L4W 3D 2L
Away record1W 2D 6L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1/3
Over 2.5 goals50%Evens
Over 3.5 goals28%5/2
Both teams to score55%4/5
Burnley or Draw66%8/15
Portsmouth or Draw62%8/13
Burnley to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Burnley clean sheet27%13/5
Portsmouth clean sheet25%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-08.7%
2-18.5%
0-18.1%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Championship

Jamie Vardy Scores in 20th Straight Season in Burnley Loss

Jamie Vardy marked his 20th consecutive season with a goal, but Burnley lost 2-1 against Wolves at Turf Moor on Friday.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Our prediction for Burnley vs Portsmouth is Burnley to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Burnley vs Portsmouth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Burnley to score 1.4 goals and Portsmouth 1.3.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Burnley last 20 games and 12 of Portsmouth last 20.

How are Burnley playing?

Burnley have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Portsmouth playing?

Portsmouth have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Burnley against Portsmouth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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