Predictions › United States › California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 12:00 United States time

California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack prediction

Carter-Finley Stadium

California Golden BearsAway
23.1 : 34.9
projected points
NC State WolfpackHome
23%California
77%NC State
Eagle safe pickNC State to win
-338

Quick answer

Our prediction for California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack is NC State Wolfpack to win, with a 77% chance. We project California Golden Bears 23.1 and NC State Wolfpack 34.9. Our best bet is NC State to win at -338.

Prediction
NC State Wolfpack to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
California Golden Bears 23, NC State Wolfpack 35
Projected total
58.0 points
Best bet
NC State to win at -338

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

NC State to win
77% chanceFair price -3382 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NC State Wolfpack 77% and California Golden Bears 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NC State Wolfpack won 3 of their last 5 and California Golden Bears won 2 of their last 5. NC State Wolfpack come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NC State Wolfpack won 8 of their last 10 games at home. California Golden Bears won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    NC State Wolfpack score 31.3 points a game and let in 27.7. California Golden Bears score 23.7 and let in 29.4. Their recent games average 59.0 and 53.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    NC State to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack: NC State Wolfpack are favourites

The big picture

NC State Wolfpack host California Golden Bears in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 12:00 at Carter-Finley Stadium. Our prediction for California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack is NC State Wolfpack to win, with a 77% chance. We project California Golden Bears 23.1 and NC State Wolfpack 34.9. Our best bet is NC State to win at -338.

NC State Wolfpack form

NC State Wolfpack have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 532 points scored and 471 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

California Golden Bears form

California Golden Bears have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 427 points scored and 529 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect California Golden Bears to score about 23.1 points and NC State Wolfpack about 34.9. That points to NC State Wolfpack to win. Our safest bet is NC State to win at -338.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

NC StateCalifornia
Games played1718
Wins98
Losses810
Points scored532427
Points conceded471529
Scored per game31.323.7
Conceded per game27.729.4
Home record8W 2L5W 5L
Away record1W 6L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

NC State spreadCoversFair
NC State -18.534%+198
NC State -14.543%+132
NC State -11.550%-102
NC State -8.558%-138
NC State -4.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
51.566%34%
55.556%44%
58.549%51%
61.541%59%
65.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. NC State +3.5 wins if NC State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack?

Our prediction for California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack is NC State Wolfpack to win, with a 77% chance. We project California Golden Bears 23.1 and NC State Wolfpack 34.9. Our best bet is NC State to win at -338.

What is the projected score for California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack?

We project California Golden Bears 23.1 and NC State Wolfpack 34.9, about 58.0 points in total.

How are NC State Wolfpack playing?

NC State Wolfpack have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 532 points scored and 471 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are California Golden Bears playing?

California Golden Bears have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 427 points scored and 529 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack?

NC State to win at -338, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NC State against California. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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