Predictions › United States › California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 15:30 United States time

California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction

Scott Stadium

California Golden BearsAway
18.5 : 33.7
projected points
Virginia CavaliersHome
17%California
83%Virginia
Eagle safe pickVirginia to win
-490

Quick answer

Our prediction for California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers is Virginia Cavaliers to win, with a 83% chance. We project California Golden Bears 18.5 and Virginia Cavaliers 33.7. Our best bet is Virginia to win at -490.

Prediction
Virginia Cavaliers to win
Chance
83%
Projected score
California Golden Bears 19, Virginia Cavaliers 34
Projected total
52.2 points
Best bet
Virginia to win at -490

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Virginia to win
83% chanceFair price -4902 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Virginia Cavaliers 83% and California Golden Bears 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Virginia Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5 and California Golden Bears won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Virginia Cavaliers won 8 of their last 12 games at home. California Golden Bears won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Virginia Cavaliers score 26.5 points a game and let in 21.2. California Golden Bears score 22.9 and let in 30.9. Their recent games average 47.7 and 53.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Virginia Cavaliers won 1 and California Golden Bears won 0. The last one ended California Golden Bears 21, Virginia Cavaliers 31.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Virginia to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers: Virginia Cavaliers are favourites

The big picture

Virginia Cavaliers host California Golden Bears in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 15:30 at Scott Stadium. Our prediction for California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers is Virginia Cavaliers to win, with a 83% chance. We project California Golden Bears 18.5 and Virginia Cavaliers 33.7. Our best bet is Virginia to win at -490.

Virginia Cavaliers form

Virginia Cavaliers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 530 points scored and 424 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

California Golden Bears form

California Golden Bears have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 457 points scored and 619 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Virginia Cavaliers won 1, California Golden Bears won 0. Last time out it finished California Golden Bears 21, Virginia Cavaliers 31.

Our call

We expect California Golden Bears to score about 18.5 points and Virginia Cavaliers about 33.7. That points to Virginia Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Virginia to win at -490.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VirginiaCalifornia
Games played2020
Wins138
Losses712
Points scored530457
Points conceded424619
Scored per game26.522.9
Conceded per game21.230.9
Home record8W 4L5W 5L
Away record5W 3L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Virginia spreadCoversFair
Virginia -22.532%+209
Virginia -18.542%+140
Virginia -15.549%+103
Virginia -12.557%-130
Virginia -8.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.557%43%
52.549%51%
55.542%58%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Virginia +3.5 wins if Virginia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers?

Our prediction for California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers is Virginia Cavaliers to win, with a 83% chance. We project California Golden Bears 18.5 and Virginia Cavaliers 33.7. Our best bet is Virginia to win at -490.

What is the projected score for California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers?

We project California Golden Bears 18.5 and Virginia Cavaliers 33.7, about 52.2 points in total.

How are Virginia Cavaliers playing?

Virginia Cavaliers have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 530 points scored and 424 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are California Golden Bears playing?

California Golden Bears have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 457 points scored and 619 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Virginia Cavaliers and California Golden Bears last met?

It ended California Golden Bears 21, Virginia Cavaliers 31. In the last 1 meeting Virginia Cavaliers won 1 and California Golden Bears won 0.

What is the best bet for California Golden Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers?

Virginia to win at -490, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Virginia against California. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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