Predictions › United Kingdom › Cardiff City vs Burnley

ChampionshipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Cardiff City vs Burnley prediction

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff CityHome

2.67 : 1.21

expected goals

BurnleyAway

68%Cardiff

17%Draw

15%Burnley

Eagle safe pickCardiff City or Draw

1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cardiff City vs Burnley is Cardiff City to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Cardiff City or Draw at 1/6.

Prediction: Cardiff City to win
Chance: 68%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Cardiff City 2.7, Burnley 1.2
Best bet: Cardiff City or Draw at 1/6
Both teams to score: 66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cardiff City or Draw

86% chanceFair price 1/62 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cardiff City to win and both score

40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Cardiff City 68%, the draw 17% and Burnley 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Cardiff City took 10 points from their last 5 games and Burnley took 5 from 5. Cardiff City come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Cardiff City won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Burnley won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Cardiff City score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Burnley score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cardiff City games and 12 of Burnley games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Cardiff City won 1 and Burnley won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Burnley 1, Cardiff City 2.
6
The safest bet
Cardiff City or Draw has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Cardiffrecent form+1%
Burnleyrecent form-1%

Cardiff form D D W L WBurnley form L L D W DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cardiff City vs Burnley: Cardiff City are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cardiff City host Burnley in the Championship on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Cardiff City Stadium. Our prediction for Cardiff City vs Burnley is Cardiff City to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Cardiff City or Draw at 1/6.

Cardiff City form

Cardiff City have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Burnley form

Burnley have 1 win, 9 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Cardiff City won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Burnley 1, Cardiff City 2.

Our call

We expect Cardiff City to score about 2.7 goals and Burnley about 1.2. That points to Cardiff City to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Cardiff City or Draw at 1/6. Our bold bet is Cardiff City to win and both score at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Cardiff	Burnley
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	1
Draws	6	9
Losses	6	10
Goals scored	39	23
Goals conceded	29	38
Scored per game	1.9	1.1
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Home record	7W 3D 1L	0W 7D 3L
Away record	1W 3D 5L	1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	15%	10%
Both teams scored	75%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1/9
Over 2.5 goals	74%	1/3
Over 3.5 goals	54%	5/6
Both teams to score	66%	8/15
Cardiff City or Draw	85%	1/6
Burnley or Draw	32%	85/40
Cardiff City to win and Over 2.5	56%	4/5
Burnley to win and Over 2.5	11%	8/1
Cardiff City clean sheet	30%	12/5
Burnley clean sheet	7%	14/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.9%

3-17.9%

2-07.4%

1-17.1%

3-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Championship

Jamie Vardy Scores in 20th Straight Season in Burnley Loss

Jamie Vardy marked his 20th consecutive season with a goal, but Burnley lost 2-1 against Wolves at Turf Moor on Friday.

17 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cardiff City vs Burnley?

Our prediction for Cardiff City vs Burnley is Cardiff City to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Cardiff City or Draw at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Cardiff City vs Burnley?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect Cardiff City to score 2.7 goals and Burnley 1.2.

Will both teams score in Cardiff City vs Burnley?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Cardiff City last 20 games and 16 of Burnley last 20.

How are Cardiff City playing?

How are Burnley playing?

What happened when Cardiff City and Burnley last met?

It ended Burnley 1, Cardiff City 2. In the last 1 meeting Cardiff City won 1 and Burnley won 0.

What is the best bet for Cardiff City vs Burnley?

Cardiff City or Draw at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cardiff against Burnley. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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