Predictions › United Kingdom › Cardiff City vs West Ham United
ChampionshipWed 4 Nov, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Cardiff City vs West Ham United prediction

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff CityHome
1.53 : 1.68
expected goals
West Ham UnitedAway
35%Cardiff
25%Draw
41%West Ham
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cardiff City vs West Ham United is West Ham United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
West Ham United to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cardiff City 1.5, West Ham United 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

West Ham United to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cardiff City 35%, the draw 25% and West Ham United 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cardiff City took 10 points from their last 5 games and West Ham United took 8 from 5. Cardiff City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cardiff City won 7 of their last 11 games at home. West Ham United won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cardiff City score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. West Ham United score 2.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Cardiff City games and 16 of West Ham United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cardiffrecent form+1%
  • West Hamrecent form+3%
  • Cardiffrest between games-5%
  • West Hamrest between games-5%
Cardiff form D D W L WWest Ham form D W W D DHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cardiff City vs West Ham United: West Ham United shade it

The big picture

Cardiff City host West Ham United in the Championship on Wed 4 Nov, 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium. Our prediction for Cardiff City vs West Ham United is West Ham United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Cardiff City form

Cardiff City have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cardiff City to score about 1.5 goals and West Ham United about 1.7. That points to West Ham United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is West Ham United to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CardiffWest Ham
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws64
Losses66
Goals scored3947
Goals conceded2928
Scored per game1.92.4
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record7W 3D 1L6W 1D 4L
Away record1W 3D 5L4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1/5
Over 2.5 goals62%8/13
Over 3.5 goals40%6/4
Both teams to score64%4/7
Cardiff City or Draw59%4/6
West Ham United or Draw65%8/15
Cardiff City to win and Over 2.524%3/1
West Ham United to win and Over 2.529%12/5
Cardiff City clean sheet19%9/2
West Ham United clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%
2-26.7%
0-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cardiff City vs West Ham United?

Our prediction for Cardiff City vs West Ham United is West Ham United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Cardiff City vs West Ham United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Cardiff City to score 1.5 goals and West Ham United 1.7.

Will both teams score in Cardiff City vs West Ham United?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Cardiff City last 20 games and 13 of West Ham United last 20.

How are Cardiff City playing?

Cardiff City have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are West Ham United playing?

West Ham United have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cardiff City vs West Ham United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cardiff against West Ham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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