Predictions › United States › Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames
NHLSun 18 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Carolina HurricanesAway
3.3 : 2.5
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
67%Hurricanes
33%Flames
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-377

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 67% chance. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Calgary Flames 2.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -377.

Prediction
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Calgary Flames 2
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -377

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
79% chanceFair price -3772 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flames to win
33% chanceFair price +2051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 33% and Carolina Hurricanes 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 0 of their last 5 and Carolina Hurricanes won 3 of their last 5. Carolina Hurricanes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Carolina Hurricanes won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.5 goals a game and let in 3.7. Carolina Hurricanes score 3.9 and let in 2.8. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Calgary Flames won 1 and Carolina Hurricanes won 1. The last one ended Calgary Flames 5, Carolina Hurricanes 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hurricanesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames: Carolina Hurricanes are favourites

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL on Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 67% chance. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Calgary Flames 2.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -377.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Carolina Hurricanes form

Carolina Hurricanes have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 78 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 1, Carolina Hurricanes won 1. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 5, Carolina Hurricanes 4.

Our call

We expect Carolina Hurricanes to score about 3.3 goals and Calgary Flames about 2.5. That points to Carolina Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -377. Our bold bet is Flames to win at +205.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesHurricanes
Games played2020
Wins714
Losses136
Goals scored5178
Goals conceded7456
Scored per game2.53.9
Conceded per game3.72.8
Home record6W 4L7W 4L
Away record1W 9L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -0.529%+247
Flames +0.544%+125
Flames +1.561%-155
Total goalsOverUnder
4.571%29%
5.555%45%
6.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 67% chance. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Calgary Flames 2.5. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -377.

What is the projected score for Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames?

We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Calgary Flames 2.5, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Carolina Hurricanes playing?

Carolina Hurricanes have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 78 goals scored and 56 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Carolina Hurricanes last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 5, Carolina Hurricanes 4. In the last 2 meetings Calgary Flames won 1 and Carolina Hurricanes won 1.

What is the best bet for Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames?

Over 4 goals at -377, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Hurricanes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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