Predictions › United States › Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens
NHLTue 6 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Carolina HurricanesAway
3.3 : 3.0
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
56%Hurricanes
44%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickCanadiens +1.5
-245

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Canadiens +1.5 at -245.

Prediction
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.4 goals
Best bet
Canadiens +1.5 at -245

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Canadiens +1.5
71% chancePrice -245+0.1% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 44% and Carolina Hurricanes 56%. The bookmakers agree and make Carolina Hurricanes the favourite at -118.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 5 and Carolina Hurricanes won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Carolina Hurricanes won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.9. Carolina Hurricanes score 3.9 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 5.9 and 6.3 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Carolina Hurricanes won 4. The last one ended Carolina Hurricanes 6, Montreal Canadiens 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Canadiens +1.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Hurricanesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens: Carolina Hurricanes shade it

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL on Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Canadiens +1.5 at -245.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Carolina Hurricanes form

Carolina Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 1, Carolina Hurricanes won 4. Last time out it finished Carolina Hurricanes 6, Montreal Canadiens 1.

Our call

We expect Carolina Hurricanes to score about 3.3 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 3.0. That points to Carolina Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Canadiens +1.5 at -245.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensHurricanes
Games played2020
Wins1116
Losses94
Goals scored6177
Goals conceded5749
Scored per game3.03.9
Conceded per game2.92.5
Home record4W 5L8W 2L
Away record7W 4L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Canadiens to win44%+128-102-13.0%
Hurricanes to win50%+101-118-8.0%
Canadiens +1.571%-246-245+0.1%
Hurricanes -1.529%+240+200-11.7%
Over 6.5 goals45%+123+100-10.4%
Under 6.5 goals49%+104-120-10.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -0.537%+170
Canadiens +0.553%-115
Canadiens +1.569%-225
Total goalsOverUnder
5.565%35%
6.548%52%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0. Our best bet is Canadiens +1.5 at -245.

What is the projected score for Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 3.0, about 6.4 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Carolina Hurricanes playing?

Carolina Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Carolina Hurricanes last met?

It ended Carolina Hurricanes 6, Montreal Canadiens 1. In the last 5 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Carolina Hurricanes won 4.

What is the best bet for Carolina Hurricanes vs Montreal Canadiens?

Canadiens +1.5 at -245, with a 71% chance. That price pays about 0.1% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Hurricanes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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