Predictions › United States › Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers
NHLSat 3 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction

Xfinity Mobile Arena

Carolina HurricanesAway
3.1 : 2.3
projected goals
Philadelphia FlyersHome
68%Hurricanes
32%Flyers
Eagle safe pickHurricanes +1
-382

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.1 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.3. Our best bet is Hurricanes +1 at -382.

Prediction
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Projected total
5.4 goals
Best bet
Hurricanes +1 at -382

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hurricanes +1
79% chanceFair price -3822 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
32% chanceFair price +2171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Flyers 32% and Carolina Hurricanes 68%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Flyers won 1 of their last 5 and Carolina Hurricanes won 4 of their last 5. Carolina Hurricanes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Flyers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Carolina Hurricanes won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Flyers score 2.5 goals a game and let in 2.6. Carolina Hurricanes score 3.9 and let in 2.5. Their recent games average 5.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Flyers won 1 and Carolina Hurricanes won 4. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hurricanes +1 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flyersrest between games-5%
  • Hurricanesrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers: Carolina Hurricanes are favourites

The big picture

Philadelphia Flyers host Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL on Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.1 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.3. Our best bet is Hurricanes +1 at -382.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Carolina Hurricanes form

Carolina Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Philadelphia Flyers won 1, Carolina Hurricanes won 4. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3.

Our call

We expect Carolina Hurricanes to score about 3.1 goals and Philadelphia Flyers about 2.3. That points to Carolina Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Hurricanes +1 at -382. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +217.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlyersHurricanes
Games played2020
Wins1016
Losses104
Goals scored5177
Goals conceded5249
Scored per game2.53.9
Conceded per game2.62.5
Home record6W 4L8W 2L
Away record4W 6L8W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flyers spreadCoversFair
Flyers -0.528%+255
Flyers +0.544%+129
Flyers +1.560%-151
Total goalsOverUnder
4.565%35%
5.548%52%
6.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flyers +3.5 wins if Flyers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Our prediction for Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 68% chance. We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.1 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.3. Our best bet is Hurricanes +1 at -382.

What is the projected score for Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers?

We project Carolina Hurricanes 3.1 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.3, about 5.4 goals in total.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Carolina Hurricanes playing?

Carolina Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Flyers and Carolina Hurricanes last met?

It ended Philadelphia Flyers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3. In the last 5 meetings Philadelphia Flyers won 1 and Carolina Hurricanes won 4.

What is the best bet for Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Hurricanes +1 at -382, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flyers against Hurricanes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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