Predictions › United States › Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints
NFLSun 15 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints prediction

Caesars Superdome

Carolina PanthersAway
24.4 : 21.5
projected points
New Orleans SaintsHome
57%Panthers
43%Saints
Eagle safe pickUnder 54.5 points
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Panthers 24.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.5. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -306.

Prediction
Carolina Panthers to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Carolina Panthers 24, New Orleans Saints 22
Projected total
46.0 points
Best bet
Under 54.5 points at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 54.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3062 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Saints 43% and Carolina Panthers 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Carolina Panthers the favourite at -125.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Saints won 1 of their last 5 and Carolina Panthers won 2 of their last 5. Carolina Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Carolina Panthers won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Saints score 19.5 points a game and let in 23.6. Carolina Panthers score 22.4 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 43.1 and 46.9 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New Orleans Saints won 2 and Carolina Panthers won 0. The last one ended New Orleans Saints 20, Carolina Panthers 17.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 54.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panthersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints: Carolina Panthers shade it

The big picture

New Orleans Saints host Carolina Panthers in the NFL on Sun 15 Nov, 13:00 at Caesars Superdome. Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Panthers 24.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.5. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -306.

New Orleans Saints form

New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 390 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Carolina Panthers form

Carolina Panthers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 447 points scored and 491 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New Orleans Saints won 2, Carolina Panthers won 0. Last time out it finished New Orleans Saints 20, Carolina Panthers 17.

Our call

We expect Carolina Panthers to score about 24.4 points and New Orleans Saints about 21.5. That points to Carolina Panthers to win. Our safest bet is Under 54.5 points at -306.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SaintsPanthers
Games played2020
Wins89
Losses1211
Points scored390447
Points conceded473491
Scored per game19.522.4
Conceded per game23.624.6
Home record2W 7L4W 5L
Away record6W 5L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Saints to win43%+134+105-12.4%
Panthers to win50%-100-125-9.8%
Saints +1.543%+131-110-17.4%
Panthers -1.550%+102-110-5.4%
Over 47.5 points43%+133-110-18.1%
Under 47.5 points50%+100-110-4.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Saints spreadCoversFair
Saints -4.529%+243
Saints -0.540%+150
Saints +2.549%+105
Saints +5.558%-136
Saints +9.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
38.572%28%
42.561%39%
45.551%49%
48.542%58%
52.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Saints +3.5 wins if Saints win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints?

Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Panthers 24.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.5. Our best bet is Under 54.5 points at -306.

What is the projected score for Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints?

We project Carolina Panthers 24.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.5, about 46.0 points in total.

How are New Orleans Saints playing?

New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 390 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Carolina Panthers playing?

Carolina Panthers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 447 points scored and 491 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers last met?

It ended New Orleans Saints 20, Carolina Panthers 17. In the last 2 meetings New Orleans Saints won 2 and Carolina Panthers won 0.

What is the best bet for Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints?

Under 54.5 points at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Saints against Panthers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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