Predictions › United States › Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles
NFLSun 18 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction

Lincoln Financial Field

Carolina PanthersAway
21.3 : 21.8
projected points
Philadelphia EaglesHome
50%Panthers
50%Eagles
Eagle safe pickPanthers +8.5
-284

Quick answer

Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Panthers 21.3 and Philadelphia Eagles 21.8. Our best bet is Panthers +8.5 at -284.

Prediction
Carolina Panthers to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Carolina Panthers 21, Philadelphia Eagles 22
Projected total
43.1 points
Best bet
Panthers +8.5 at -284

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Panthers +8.5
74% chanceFair price -2841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Eagles 50% and Carolina Panthers 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Philadelphia Eagles the favourite at -130, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and Carolina Panthers won 3 of their last 5. Carolina Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Eagles won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Carolina Panthers won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Eagles score 19.4 points a game and let in 20.5. Carolina Panthers score 21.4 and let in 23.3. Their recent games average 40.0 and 44.7 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Panthers +8.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles: Carolina Panthers shade it

The big picture

Philadelphia Eagles host Carolina Panthers in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Lincoln Financial Field. Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Panthers 21.3 and Philadelphia Eagles 21.8. Our best bet is Panthers +8.5 at -284.

Philadelphia Eagles form

Philadelphia Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 389 points scored and 410 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Carolina Panthers form

Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 428 points scored and 466 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Carolina Panthers to score about 21.3 points and Philadelphia Eagles about 21.8. That points to Carolina Panthers to win. Our safest bet is Panthers +8.5 at -284.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EaglesPanthers
Games played2020
Wins910
Losses1110
Points scored389428
Points conceded410466
Scored per game19.421.4
Conceded per game20.523.3
Home record4W 5L4W 5L
Away record5W 6L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Eagles to win50%+101-130-11.8%
Panthers to win43%+130+110-8.8%
Eagles -1.544%+128-115-18.1%
Panthers +1.549%+102-105-3.5%
Over 43.5 points46%+119-115-14.8%
Under 43.5 points48%+110-105-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Eagles spreadCoversFair
Eagles -7.530%+232
Eagles -3.541%+143
Eagles -0.550%+100
Eagles +2.559%-142
Eagles +6.570%-230
Total pointsOverUnder
36.569%31%
40.558%42%
43.549%51%
46.540%60%
50.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Eagles +3.5 wins if Eagles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Our prediction for Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles is Carolina Panthers to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Carolina Panthers 21.3 and Philadelphia Eagles 21.8. Our best bet is Panthers +8.5 at -284.

What is the projected score for Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles?

We project Carolina Panthers 21.3 and Philadelphia Eagles 21.8, about 43.1 points in total.

How are Philadelphia Eagles playing?

Philadelphia Eagles have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 389 points scored and 410 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Carolina Panthers playing?

Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 428 points scored and 466 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles?

Panthers +8.5 at -284, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eagles against Panthers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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