Predictions › Europa League › Celtic vs Besiktas

Europa LeagueThu 5 Nov, 20:00 UTC

Celtic vs Besiktas prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome

1.49 : 1.57

expected goals

BesiktasAway

36%Celtic

25%Draw

39%Besiktas

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Besiktas is Besiktas to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Besiktas to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Celtic 1.5, Besiktas 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Besiktas to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Celtic 36%, the draw 25% and Besiktas 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Besiktas the favourite at 2.25.
2
Recent form
Celtic took 9 points from their last 5 games and Besiktas took 10 from 5. Besiktas come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Celtic won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Besiktas won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Celtic score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Besiktas score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Celtic games and 13 of Besiktas games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Besiktasrecent form+1%
Celticrest between games-5%
Besiktasrest between games-5%

Celtic form D L W L WBesiktas form D D L W WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celtic vs Besiktas: Besiktas shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celtic host Besiktas in the Europa League on Thu 5 Nov, 20:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Besiktas is Besiktas to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Besiktas form

Besiktas have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 1.5 goals and Besiktas about 1.6. That points to Besiktas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Besiktas to win and Over 2.5 at 3.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Celtic	Besiktas
Games played	20	20
Wins	16	11
Draws	0	3
Losses	4	6
Goals scored	45	39
Goals conceded	22	25
Scored per game	2.3	1.9
Conceded per game	1.1	1.3
Home record	8W 0D 3L	8W 2D 1L
Away record	8W 0D 1L	3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	70%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Celtic to win	35%	2.88	2.80	-2.7%
A Draw	24%	4.09	3.70	-9.6%
Besiktas to win	39%	2.59	2.25	-13.2%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.88	1.59	-15.7%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.44	2.25	-7.6%
Celtic +0.5	53%	1.90	1.59	-16.3%
Besiktas -0.5	41%	2.41	2.10	-12.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.73
Both teams to score	62%	1.61
Celtic or Draw	61%	1.64
Besiktas or Draw	64%	1.55
Celtic to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.15
Besiktas to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.77
Celtic clean sheet	21%	4.80
Besiktas clean sheet	23%	4.44

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

1-28.6%

2-18.2%

0-16.7%

2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Scottish Premiership

Celtic Blast Fan Protest After Golf Course Incident

Celtic has strongly condemned a protest where tennis balls were thrown at major shareholder Dermot Desmond during a golf tournament.

4 Oct 2026

Scottish Premiership

Rangers Close The Gap At The Top With Derby Win Over Celtic

Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers beat Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park to move within two points of the top of the table.

20 Sept 2026

Scottish Premiership

Celtic Target Revenge Against In-Form Rangers at Celtic Park

Celtic look to bounce back from consecutive defeats as they host rivals Rangers in a massive Scottish Premiership clash this Sunday.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Besiktas?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Besiktas is Besiktas to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Besiktas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Celtic to score 1.5 goals and Besiktas 1.6.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Besiktas?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Celtic last 20 games and 12 of Besiktas last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

How are Besiktas playing?

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Besiktas?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtic against Besiktas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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