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Predictions › Europa League › Celtic vs Celta Vigo
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome
1.11 : 0.95
expected goals
Celta VigoAway
38%Celtic
32%Draw
30%Celta Vigo
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Celta Vigo is Celtic to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Celtic to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Celtic 1.1, Celta Vigo 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celtic 38%, the draw 32% and Celta Vigo 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celtic took 9 points from their last 5 games and Celta Vigo took 6 from 5. Celtic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celtic won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Celta Vigo won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celtic score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Celta Vigo score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Celtic games and 9 of Celta Vigo games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticrecent form-3%
  • Celticrest between games-5%
  • Celta Vigorest between games-5%
Celtic form D L L L WCelta Vigo form D W L D DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: Celtic shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celtic host Celta Vigo in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Celta Vigo is Celtic to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Celta Vigo form

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 1.1 goals and Celta Vigo about 0.9. That points to Celtic to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticCelta Vigo
Games played2020
Wins165
Draws16
Losses39
Goals scored4121
Goals conceded2026
Scored per game2.01.1
Conceded per game1.01.3
Home record8W 0D 2L3W 1D 5L
Away record8W 1D 1L2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored65%45%
Over 2.5 goals70%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.96
Over 3.5 goals15%6.55
Both teams to score42%2.39
Celtic or Draw70%1.43
Celta Vigo or Draw62%1.62
Celtic to win and Over 2.517%5.89
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.513%7.78
Celtic clean sheet39%2.58
Celta Vigo clean sheet33%3.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-013.6%
1-013.4%
0-111.3%
2-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Scottish Premiership

Celtic Blast Fan Protest After Golf Course Incident

Celtic has strongly condemned a protest where tennis balls were thrown at major shareholder Dermot Desmond during a golf tournament.

4 Oct 2026
Scottish Premiership

Rangers Close The Gap At The Top With Derby Win Over Celtic

Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers beat Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park to move within two points of the top of the table.

20 Sept 2026
Scottish Premiership

Celtic Target Revenge Against In-Form Rangers at Celtic Park

Celtic look to bounce back from consecutive defeats as they host rivals Rangers in a massive Scottish Premiership clash this Sunday.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Celta Vigo is Celtic to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Celtic to score 1.1 goals and Celta Vigo 0.9.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Celtic last 20 games and 9 of Celta Vigo last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Celta Vigo playing?

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtic against Celta Vigo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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