Predictions › United Kingdom › Celtic vs Dundee United
Scottish PremiershipWed 28 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Celtic vs Dundee United prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome
2.33 : 0.93
expected goals
Dundee UnitedAway
68%Celtic
19%Draw
13%Dundee Utd
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Dundee United is Celtic to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Celtic to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Celtic 2.3, Dundee United 0.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celtic to win and both score
33% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celtic 68%, the draw 19% and Dundee United 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celtic took 6 points from their last 5 games and Dundee United took 8 from 5. Dundee United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celtic won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Dundee United won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celtic score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Dundee United score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Celtic games and 10 of Dundee United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Celtic won 1 and Dundee United won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Dundee United 2, Celtic 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticrecent form-3%
  • Dundee Utdrecent form+1%
  • Celticrest between games-5%
  • Dundee Utdrest between games-5%
Celtic form D L W L LDundee Utd form D W W D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celtic vs Dundee United: Celtic are favourites

The big picture

Celtic host Dundee United in the Scottish Premiership on Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Dundee United is Celtic to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Dundee United form

Dundee United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Celtic won 1, Dundee United won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dundee United 2, Celtic 0.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 2.3 goals and Dundee United about 0.9. That points to Celtic to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Celtic to win and both score at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticDundee Utd
Games played2020
Wins167
Draws06
Losses47
Goals scored4526
Goals conceded2229
Scored per game2.31.3
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record9W 0D 2L5W 3D 1L
Away record7W 0D 2L2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored65%40%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%2/11
Over 2.5 goals63%4/7
Over 3.5 goals41%7/5
Both teams to score55%4/5
Celtic or Draw87%1/7
Dundee United or Draw32%85/40
Celtic to win and Over 2.549%Evens
Dundee United to win and Over 2.58%11/1
Celtic clean sheet39%6/4
Dundee United clean sheet10%9/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.4%
2-19.7%
1-18.8%
1-08.4%
3-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Dundee United?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Dundee United is Celtic to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Dundee United?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Celtic to score 2.3 goals and Dundee United 0.9.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Dundee United?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Celtic last 20 games and 8 of Dundee United last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 16 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Dundee United playing?

Dundee United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Celtic and Dundee United last met?

It ended Dundee United 2, Celtic 0. In the last 3 meetings Celtic won 1 and Dundee United won 2.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Dundee United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtic against Dundee Utd. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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