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Predictions › United Kingdom › Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian
Scottish PremiershipSun 18 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome
1.70 : 1.04
expected goals
Heart of MidlothianAway
52%Celtic
25%Draw
23%Hearts
Eagle safe pickCeltic or Draw
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian is Celtic to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Celtic or Draw at 3/10.

Prediction
Celtic to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Celtic 1.7, Heart of Midlothian 1.0
Best bet
Celtic or Draw at 3/10
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtic or Draw
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celtic to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celtic 52%, the draw 25% and Heart of Midlothian 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celtic took 9 points from their last 5 games and Heart of Midlothian took 10 from 5. Heart of Midlothian come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celtic won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Heart of Midlothian won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celtic score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Heart of Midlothian score 1.7 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Celtic games and 13 of Heart of Midlothian games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Celtic won 1 and Heart of Midlothian won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Celtic 3, Heart of Midlothian 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Celtic or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticrecent form-1%
  • Heartsrecent form+3%
Celtic form L L L W WHearts form D L W W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian: Celtic are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celtic host Heart of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership on Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian is Celtic to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Celtic or Draw at 3/10.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Heart of Midlothian form

Heart of Midlothian have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Celtic won 1, Heart of Midlothian won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Celtic 3, Heart of Midlothian 1.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 1.7 goals and Heart of Midlothian about 1.0. That points to Celtic to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Celtic or Draw at 3/10. Our bold bet is Celtic to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticHearts
Games played2020
Wins1612
Draws13
Losses35
Goals scored4034
Goals conceded2022
Scored per game2.01.7
Conceded per game1.01.1
Home record8W 0D 2L10W 0D 0L
Away record8W 1D 1L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets25%30%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%12/5
Both teams to score54%5/6
Celtic or Draw78%2/7
Heart of Midlothian or Draw48%11/10
Celtic to win and Over 2.533%85/40
Heart of Midlothian to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Celtic clean sheet35%15/8
Heart of Midlothian clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-010.2%
2-19.7%
2-09.3%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Scottish Premiership

Celtic Blast Fan Protest After Golf Course Incident

Celtic has strongly condemned a protest where tennis balls were thrown at major shareholder Dermot Desmond during a golf tournament.

4 Oct 2026
Scottish Premiership

Rangers Close The Gap At The Top With Derby Win Over Celtic

Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers beat Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park to move within two points of the top of the table.

20 Sept 2026
Scottish Premiership

Celtic Target Revenge Against In-Form Rangers at Celtic Park

Celtic look to bounce back from consecutive defeats as they host rivals Rangers in a massive Scottish Premiership clash this Sunday.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian is Celtic to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Celtic or Draw at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Celtic to score 1.7 goals and Heart of Midlothian 1.0.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Celtic last 20 games and 13 of Heart of Midlothian last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Heart of Midlothian playing?

Heart of Midlothian have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Celtic and Heart of Midlothian last met?

It ended Celtic 3, Heart of Midlothian 1. In the last 4 meetings Celtic won 1 and Heart of Midlothian won 2.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian?

Celtic or Draw at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtic against Hearts. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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