Predictions › United Kingdom › Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Scottish PremiershipSun 8 Nov, 16:00 United Kingdom time

Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome

2.67 : 0.81

expected goals

KilmarnockAway

77%Celtic

15%Draw

8%Kilmarnock

Eagle safe pickCeltic to win

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock is Celtic to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Celtic to win at 3/10.

Prediction: Celtic to win
Chance: 77%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Celtic 2.7, Kilmarnock 0.8
Best bet: Celtic to win at 3/10
Both teams to score: 52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Celtic to win

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celtic to win and both score

35% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Celtic 77%, the draw 15% and Kilmarnock 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Celtic took 7 points from their last 5 games and Kilmarnock took 4 from 5. Celtic come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Celtic won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Kilmarnock won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Celtic score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Kilmarnock score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Celtic games and 13 of Kilmarnock games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings, Celtic won 4 and Kilmarnock won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kilmarnock 1, Celtic 5.
6
The safest bet
Celtic to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Kilmarnockrecent form-3%
Celticrest between games-5%
Kilmarnockrest between games-5%

Celtic form D W L W LKilmarnock form L L W L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celtic vs Kilmarnock: Celtic are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celtic host Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership on Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock is Celtic to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Celtic to win at 3/10.

Celtic form

Celtic have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Kilmarnock form

Kilmarnock have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Celtic won 4, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kilmarnock 1, Celtic 5.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 2.7 goals and Kilmarnock about 0.8. That points to Celtic to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Celtic to win at 3/10. Our bold bet is Celtic to win and both score at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Celtic	Kilmarnock
Games played	20	20
Wins	15	8
Draws	1	3
Losses	4	9
Goals scored	45	29
Goals conceded	23	34
Scored per game	2.3	1.4
Conceded per game	1.1	1.7
Home record	8W 1D 3L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	7W 0D 1L	3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	70%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	87%	2/13
Over 2.5 goals	68%	1/2
Over 3.5 goals	46%	6/5
Both teams to score	52%	10/11
Celtic or Draw	92%	1/10
Kilmarnock or Draw	24%	10/3
Celtic to win and Over 2.5	58%	8/11
Kilmarnock to win and Over 2.5	5%	18/1
Celtic clean sheet	45%	5/4
Kilmarnock clean sheet	7%	14/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.0%

3-09.8%

2-18.9%

3-17.9%

1-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Scottish Premiership

Celtic Blast Fan Protest After Golf Course Incident

Celtic has strongly condemned a protest where tennis balls were thrown at major shareholder Dermot Desmond during a golf tournament.

4 Oct 2026

Scottish Premiership

Rangers Close The Gap At The Top With Derby Win Over Celtic

Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers beat Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park to move within two points of the top of the table.

20 Sept 2026

Scottish Premiership

Celtic Target Revenge Against In-Form Rangers at Celtic Park

Celtic look to bounce back from consecutive defeats as they host rivals Rangers in a massive Scottish Premiership clash this Sunday.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock is Celtic to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Celtic to win at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Celtic to score 2.7 goals and Kilmarnock 0.8.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Celtic last 20 games and 9 of Kilmarnock last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

How are Kilmarnock playing?

What happened when Celtic and Kilmarnock last met?

It ended Kilmarnock 1, Celtic 5. In the last 4 meetings Celtic won 4 and Kilmarnock won 0.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Celtic to win at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtic against Kilmarnock. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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