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Predictions › United Kingdom › Celtic vs St Mirren
Scottish PremiershipSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Celtic vs St Mirren prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome
2.99 : 0.92
expected goals
St MirrenAway
79%Celtic
13%Draw
8%St Mirren
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs St Mirren is Celtic to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Celtic to win
Chance
79%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Celtic 3.0, St Mirren 0.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celtic to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celtic 79%, the draw 13% and St Mirren 8%. The bookmakers agree and make Celtic the favourite at 2/13.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celtic took 10 points from their last 5 games and St Mirren took 4 from 5. Celtic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celtic won 8 of their last 12 games at home. St Mirren won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celtic score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. St Mirren score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Celtic games and 7 of St Mirren games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Celtic won 3 and St Mirren won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended St Mirren 1, Celtic 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Celticrecent form+1%
  • St Mirrenrecent form-1%
Celtic form D W L D WSt Mirren form D L D W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Celtic vs St Mirren: Celtic are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celtic host St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs St Mirren is Celtic to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3.

Celtic form

Celtic have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

St Mirren form

St Mirren have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Celtic won 3, St Mirren won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished St Mirren 1, Celtic 2.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 3.0 goals and St Mirren about 0.9. That points to Celtic to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Celtic to win and both score at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticSt Mirren
Games played2020
Wins146
Draws13
Losses511
Goals scored4317
Goals conceded2530
Scored per game2.10.8
Conceded per game1.31.5
Home record8W 1D 3L3W 3D 5L
Away record6W 0D 2L3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored65%30%
Over 2.5 goals70%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Celtic to win78%2/72/13-9.5%
A Draw12%7/113/2-7.1%
St Mirren to win8%12/111/1-9.5%
Over 3.5 goals52%10/114/7-18.2%
Under 3.5 goals42%7/511/10-10.7%
Celtic -2.542%11/810/11-17.5%
St Mirren +2.551%Evens4/6-14.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1/10
Over 2.5 goals75%1/3
Over 3.5 goals55%5/6
Both teams to score57%8/11
Celtic or Draw92%1/10
St Mirren or Draw21%7/2
Celtic to win and Over 2.564%4/7
St Mirren to win and Over 2.56%16/1
Celtic clean sheet40%6/4
St Mirren clean sheet5%18/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.0%
3-09.0%
2-18.2%
3-18.2%
4-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Scottish Premiership

Celtic Blast Fan Protest After Golf Course Incident

Celtic has strongly condemned a protest where tennis balls were thrown at major shareholder Dermot Desmond during a golf tournament.

4 Oct 2026
Scottish Premiership

Rangers Close The Gap At The Top With Derby Win Over Celtic

Ryan Naderi scored the only goal as Rangers beat Celtic 1-0 at Celtic Park to move within two points of the top of the table.

20 Sept 2026
Scottish Premiership

Celtic Target Revenge Against In-Form Rangers at Celtic Park

Celtic look to bounce back from consecutive defeats as they host rivals Rangers in a massive Scottish Premiership clash this Sunday.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs St Mirren?

Our prediction for Celtic vs St Mirren is Celtic to win, with a 79% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs St Mirren?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Celtic to score 3.0 goals and St Mirren 0.9.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs St Mirren?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Celtic last 20 games and 6 of St Mirren last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are St Mirren playing?

St Mirren have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Celtic and St Mirren last met?

It ended St Mirren 1, Celtic 2. In the last 3 meetings Celtic won 3 and St Mirren won 0.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs St Mirren?

Over 2.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Celtic against St Mirren. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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