Predictions › United States › Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks
NFLMon 2 Nov, 20:15 United States time

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks prediction

Lumen Field

Chicago BearsAway
22.2 : 26.0
projected points
Seattle SeahawksHome
45%Bears
55%Seahawks
Eagle safe pickOver 39.5 points
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bears 22.2 and Seattle Seahawks 26.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -313.

Prediction
Seattle Seahawks to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Chicago Bears 22, Seattle Seahawks 26
Projected total
48.2 points
Best bet
Over 39.5 points at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 39.5 points
76% chanceFair price -3132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bears to win
40% chancePrice +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Seahawks 55% and Chicago Bears 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Seahawks the favourite at -162.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Seahawks won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago Bears won 4 of their last 5. Chicago Bears come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Seahawks won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Chicago Bears won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Seahawks score 24.4 points a game and let in 16.6. Chicago Bears score 24.9 and let in 20.5. Their recent games average 41.1 and 45.4 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 39.5 points has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bearsrest between games-5%
  • Bearsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks: Seattle Seahawks shade it

The big picture

Seattle Seahawks host Chicago Bears in the NFL on Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bears 22.2 and Seattle Seahawks 26.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -313.

Seattle Seahawks form

Seattle Seahawks have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 489 points scored and 333 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Chicago Bears form

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 410 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bears to score about 22.2 points and Seattle Seahawks about 26.0. That points to Seattle Seahawks to win. Our safest bet is Over 39.5 points at -313. Our bold bet is Bears to win at +136.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeahawksBears
Games played2020
Wins1313
Losses67
Points scored489497
Points conceded333410
Scored per game24.424.9
Conceded per game16.620.5
Home record7W 2L8W 3L
Away record6W 4L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Seahawks to win55%-121-162-11.6%
Bears to win40%+150+136-5.7%
Seahawks -349%+103-110-6.0%
Bears +346%+119-110-12.8%
Over 46.5 points51%-104-115-4.5%
Under 46.5 points44%+128-105-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Seahawks spreadCoversFair
Seahawks -10.531%+221
Seahawks -6.542%+137
Seahawks -3.551%-104
Seahawks -0.560%-149
Seahawks +3.571%-241
Total pointsOverUnder
41.570%30%
45.558%42%
48.549%51%
51.540%60%
55.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Seahawks +3.5 wins if Seahawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks?

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bears 22.2 and Seattle Seahawks 26.0. Our best bet is Over 39.5 points at -313.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks?

We project Chicago Bears 22.2 and Seattle Seahawks 26.0, about 48.2 points in total.

How are Seattle Seahawks playing?

Seattle Seahawks have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 489 points scored and 333 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Chicago Bears playing?

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 410 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks?

Over 39.5 points at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seahawks against Bears. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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