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NBAMon 16 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Chicago BullsAway
116.2 : 126.3
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
20%Bulls
80%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickCavaliers to win
-389

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 80% chance. We project Chicago Bulls 116.2 and Cleveland Cavaliers 126.3. Our best bet is Cavaliers to win at -389.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Chicago Bulls 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 126
Projected total
242.5 points
Best bet
Cavaliers to win at -389

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers to win
80% chanceFair price -3892 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 80% and Chicago Bulls 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 of their last 5 and Chicago Bulls won 0 of their last 5. Cleveland Cavaliers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Chicago Bulls won 4 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 113.3 points a game and let in 114.7. Chicago Bulls score 115.7 and let in 124.7. Their recent games average 228.0 and 240.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 and Chicago Bulls won 3. The last one ended Chicago Bulls 110, Cleveland Cavaliers 115.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
  • Bullsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers are favourites

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Chicago Bulls in the NBA on Mon 16 Nov, 19:00 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 80% chance. We project Chicago Bulls 116.2 and Cleveland Cavaliers 126.3. Our best bet is Cavaliers to win at -389.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2267 points scored and 2293 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Chicago Bulls form

Chicago Bulls have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2314 points scored and 2494 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 2, Chicago Bulls won 3. Last time out it finished Chicago Bulls 110, Cleveland Cavaliers 115.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bulls to score about 116.2 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 126.3. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers to win at -389.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersBulls
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Points scored22672314
Points conceded22932494
Scored per game113.3115.7
Conceded per game114.7124.7
Home record6W 5L2W 6L
Away record3W 6L4W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -16.531%+228
Cavaliers -13.539%+154
Cavaliers -10.549%+105
Cavaliers -7.558%-140
Cavaliers -4.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
236.563%37%
239.557%43%
242.550%50%
245.543%57%
248.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 80% chance. We project Chicago Bulls 116.2 and Cleveland Cavaliers 126.3. Our best bet is Cavaliers to win at -389.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Chicago Bulls 116.2 and Cleveland Cavaliers 126.3, about 242.5 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2267 points scored and 2293 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Chicago Bulls playing?

Chicago Bulls have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2314 points scored and 2494 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Chicago Bulls last met?

It ended Chicago Bulls 110, Cleveland Cavaliers 115. In the last 5 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 and Chicago Bulls won 3.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Cavaliers to win at -389, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Bulls. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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