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Predictions › United States › Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros
MLBWed 30 Sept, 17:00 United States time

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros prediction

Daikin Park

Chicago White SoxAway
4.7 : 4.5
projected runs
Houston AstrosHome
56%White Sox
44%Astros
Eagle safe pickAstros +2.5
-271

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros is Chicago White Sox to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago White Sox 4.7 and Houston Astros 4.5. Our best bet is Astros +2.5 at -271.

Prediction
Chicago White Sox to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Chicago White Sox 5, Houston Astros 4
Projected total
9.2 runs
Best bet
Astros +2.5 at -271

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Astros +2.5
73% chanceFair price -2711 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Astros to win
44% chanceFair price +1251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Astros 44% and Chicago White Sox 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Astros won 3 of their last 5 and Chicago White Sox won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Astros won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Chicago White Sox won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Astros score 4.6 runs a game and let in 4.4. Chicago White Sox score 5.3 and let in 4.5. Their recent games average 9.0 and 9.8 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Houston Astros won 3 and Chicago White Sox won 2. The last one ended Houston Astros 6, Chicago White Sox 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Astros +2.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Astrosrest between games-5%
  • White Soxrest between games-5%
  • Astrosteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros: Chicago White Sox shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Astros host Chicago White Sox in the MLB on Wed 30 Sept, 17:00 at Daikin Park. Our prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros is Chicago White Sox to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago White Sox 4.7 and Houston Astros 4.5. Our best bet is Astros +2.5 at -271.

Houston Astros form

Houston Astros have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 88 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Chicago White Sox form

Chicago White Sox have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 106 runs scored and 90 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Houston Astros won 3, Chicago White Sox won 2. Last time out it finished Houston Astros 6, Chicago White Sox 2.

Our call

We expect Chicago White Sox to score about 4.7 runs and Houston Astros about 4.5. That points to Chicago White Sox to win. Our safest bet is Astros +2.5 at -271. Our bold bet is Astros to win at +125.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AstrosWhite Sox
Games played2020
Wins810
Losses1210
Runs scored92106
Runs conceded8890
Scored per game4.65.3
Conceded per game4.44.5
Home record2W 6L6W 5L
Away record6W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Astros spreadCoversFair
Astros -1.534%+194
Astros -0.543%+132
Astros +0.553%-111
Astros +1.562%-162
Astros +2.571%-240
Total runsOverUnder
7.565%35%
8.556%44%
9.547%53%
10.538%62%
11.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Astros +3.5 wins if Astros win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Astros Clinch AL West Title Despite Finishing Season at 81-81

The Houston Astros secured the AL West division title with an 81-81 record after a dominant 9-0 victory over the Oakland Athletics on Sunday.

12 hours ago
MLB

No Return This Season for Astros Infielder Carlos Correa

Houston Astros infielder Carlos Correa will not return this season after his doctor advised against rushing his recovery from ankle surgery.

19 Sept 2026
MLB

Phillies Claim Pitcher Jose Urquidy From White Sox to Fill Rotation Gap

The Philadelphia Phillies have claimed right handed pitcher Jose Urquidy off waivers to help fill the void left by injured All Star Jesus Luzardo.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros?

Our prediction for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros is Chicago White Sox to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago White Sox 4.7 and Houston Astros 4.5. Our best bet is Astros +2.5 at -271.

What is the projected score for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros?

We project Chicago White Sox 4.7 and Houston Astros 4.5, about 9.2 runs in total.

How are Houston Astros playing?

Houston Astros have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 88 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Chicago White Sox playing?

Chicago White Sox have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 106 runs scored and 90 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox last met?

It ended Houston Astros 6, Chicago White Sox 2. In the last 5 meetings Houston Astros won 3 and Chicago White Sox won 2.

What is the best bet for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros?

Astros +2.5 at -271, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Astros against White Sox. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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