Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars prediction

TDECU Stadium

Cincinnati BearcatsAway
25.2 : 38.0
projected points
Houston CougarsHome
21%Cincinnati
79%Houston
Eagle safe pickHouston to win
-386

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars is Houston Cougars to win, with a 79% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 25.2 and Houston Cougars 38.0. Our best bet is Houston to win at -386.

Prediction
Houston Cougars to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Cincinnati Bearcats 25, Houston Cougars 38
Projected total
63.2 points
Best bet
Houston to win at -386

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Houston to win
79% chanceFair price -3862 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Cougars 79% and Cincinnati Bearcats 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Cougars won 4 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 3 of their last 5. Houston Cougars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Cougars won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Cincinnati Bearcats won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Cougars score 31.8 points a game and let in 24.0. Cincinnati Bearcats score 32.8 and let in 26.6. Their recent games average 55.8 and 59.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Houston to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars: Houston Cougars are favourites

The big picture

Houston Cougars host Cincinnati Bearcats in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 00:00 at TDECU Stadium. Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars is Houston Cougars to win, with a 79% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 25.2 and Houston Cougars 38.0. Our best bet is Houston to win at -386.

Houston Cougars form

Houston Cougars have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 604 points scored and 456 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Cincinnati Bearcats form

Cincinnati Bearcats have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 591 points scored and 478 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Bearcats to score about 25.2 points and Houston Cougars about 38.0. That points to Houston Cougars to win. Our safest bet is Houston to win at -386.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

HoustonCincinnati
Games played1918
Wins1411
Losses57
Points scored604591
Points conceded456478
Scored per game31.832.8
Conceded per game24.026.6
Home record7W 3L9W 3L
Away record7W 2L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Houston spreadCoversFair
Houston -19.534%+197
Houston -15.543%+132
Houston -12.551%-102
Houston -9.558%-138
Houston -5.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
56.566%34%
60.557%43%
63.549%51%
66.542%58%
70.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Houston +3.5 wins if Houston win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars is Houston Cougars to win, with a 79% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 25.2 and Houston Cougars 38.0. Our best bet is Houston to win at -386.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars?

We project Cincinnati Bearcats 25.2 and Houston Cougars 38.0, about 63.2 points in total.

How are Houston Cougars playing?

Houston Cougars have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 604 points scored and 456 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Bearcats playing?

Cincinnati Bearcats have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 591 points scored and 478 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars?

Houston to win at -386, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Houston against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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