Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction

Jack Trice Stadium

Cincinnati BearcatsAway
27.6 : 39.1
projected points
Iowa State CyclonesHome
23%Cincinnati
77%Iowa State
Eagle safe pickIowa State to win
-338

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones is Iowa State Cyclones to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 27.6 and Iowa State Cyclones 39.1. Our best bet is Iowa State to win at -338.

Prediction
Iowa State Cyclones to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Cincinnati Bearcats 28, Iowa State Cyclones 39
Projected total
66.7 points
Best bet
Iowa State to win at -338

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Iowa State to win
77% chanceFair price -3382 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Iowa State Cyclones 77% and Cincinnati Bearcats 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Iowa State Cyclones won 2 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Iowa State Cyclones won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Cincinnati Bearcats won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Iowa State Cyclones score 27.4 points a game and let in 24.6. Cincinnati Bearcats score 32.4 and let in 27.7. Their recent games average 52.1 and 60.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Iowa State Cyclones won 0 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 1. The last one ended Cincinnati Bearcats 38, Iowa State Cyclones 30.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Iowa State to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones: Iowa State Cyclones are favourites

The big picture

Iowa State Cyclones host Cincinnati Bearcats in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Jack Trice Stadium. Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones is Iowa State Cyclones to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 27.6 and Iowa State Cyclones 39.1. Our best bet is Iowa State to win at -338.

Iowa State Cyclones form

Iowa State Cyclones have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 466 points scored and 419 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Cincinnati Bearcats form

Cincinnati Bearcats have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 616 points scored and 527 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Iowa State Cyclones won 0, Cincinnati Bearcats won 1. Last time out it finished Cincinnati Bearcats 38, Iowa State Cyclones 30.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Bearcats to score about 27.6 points and Iowa State Cyclones about 39.1. That points to Iowa State Cyclones to win. Our safest bet is Iowa State to win at -338.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Iowa StateCincinnati
Games played1719
Wins911
Losses88
Points scored466616
Points conceded419527
Scored per game27.432.4
Conceded per game24.627.7
Home record6W 3L9W 4L
Away record3W 5L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Iowa State spreadCoversFair
Iowa State -18.533%+203
Iowa State -14.543%+135
Iowa State -11.550%+100
Iowa State -8.557%-135
Iowa State -4.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
59.567%33%
63.558%42%
66.551%49%
69.543%57%
73.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Iowa State +3.5 wins if Iowa State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones is Iowa State Cyclones to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Bearcats 27.6 and Iowa State Cyclones 39.1. Our best bet is Iowa State to win at -338.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones?

We project Cincinnati Bearcats 27.6 and Iowa State Cyclones 39.1, about 66.7 points in total.

How are Iowa State Cyclones playing?

Iowa State Cyclones have 9 wins and 8 losses in their last 17 games, with 466 points scored and 419 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Bearcats playing?

Cincinnati Bearcats have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 616 points scored and 527 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Iowa State Cyclones and Cincinnati Bearcats last met?

It ended Cincinnati Bearcats 38, Iowa State Cyclones 30. In the last 1 meeting Iowa State Cyclones won 0 and Cincinnati Bearcats won 1.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones?

Iowa State to win at -338, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Iowa State against Cincinnati. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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