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Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins
NFLSun 11 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins prediction

Hard Rock Stadium

Cincinnati BengalsAway
26.6 : 18.8
projected points
Miami DolphinsHome
77%Bengals
23%Dolphins
Eagle safe pickUnder 53.5 points
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins is Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Bengals 26.6 and Miami Dolphins 18.8. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at -292.

Prediction
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Cincinnati Bengals 27, Miami Dolphins 19
Projected total
45.4 points
Best bet
Under 53.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 53.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Dolphins 23% and Cincinnati Bengals 77%. The bookmakers agree and make Cincinnati Bengals the favourite at -455.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Dolphins won 0 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Bengals won 4 of their last 5. Cincinnati Bengals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Dolphins won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Cincinnati Bengals won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Dolphins score 17.4 points a game and let in 23.8. Cincinnati Bengals score 25.4 and let in 25.0. Their recent games average 41.3 and 50.5 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Miami Dolphins won 0 and Cincinnati Bengals won 1. The last one ended Miami Dolphins 21, Cincinnati Bengals 45.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 53.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dolphinsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins: Cincinnati Bengals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Miami Dolphins host Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Our prediction for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins is Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Bengals 26.6 and Miami Dolphins 18.8. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at -292.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 349 points scored and 476 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Cincinnati Bengals form

Cincinnati Bengals have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 509 points scored and 500 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Miami Dolphins won 0, Cincinnati Bengals won 1. Last time out it finished Miami Dolphins 21, Cincinnati Bengals 45.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Bengals to score about 26.6 points and Miami Dolphins about 18.8. That points to Cincinnati Bengals to win. Our safest bet is Under 53.5 points at -292.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DolphinsBengals
Games played2020
Wins79
Losses1311
Points scored349509
Points conceded476500
Scored per game17.425.4
Conceded per game23.825.0
Home record5W 6L5W 6L
Away record2W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Dolphins to win23%+338+350+2.6%
Bengals to win76%-319-455-7.1%
Dolphins +8.549%+104-110-6.2%
Bengals -8.545%+122-110-14.2%
Over 46.5 points44%+128-110-16.4%
Under 46.5 points50%-101-110-4.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Dolphins spreadCoversFair
Dolphins +0.530%+238
Dolphins +4.540%+147
Dolphins +7.549%+103
Dolphins +10.558%-138
Dolphins +14.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
38.570%30%
42.559%41%
45.550%50%
48.541%59%
52.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Dolphins +3.5 wins if Dolphins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

De'Von Achane Leaves Game Against Chiefs With Knee Injury

Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane was ruled out of Sunday's game against the Kansas City Chiefs after suffering a knee injury on the opening drive.

27 Sept 2026
NFL

Young Dolphins Learn Hard Lessons in Blowout Loss to 49ers

The Miami Dolphins are looking to grow from their 35-13 loss to the San Francisco 49ers as they return home with two losses.

21 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins is Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 77% chance. We project Cincinnati Bengals 26.6 and Miami Dolphins 18.8. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at -292.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins?

We project Cincinnati Bengals 26.6 and Miami Dolphins 18.8, about 45.4 points in total.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 349 points scored and 476 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Bengals playing?

Cincinnati Bengals have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 509 points scored and 500 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals last met?

It ended Miami Dolphins 21, Cincinnati Bengals 45. In the last 1 meeting Miami Dolphins won 0 and Cincinnati Bengals won 1.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins?

Under 53.5 points at -292, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dolphins against Bengals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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