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Predictions › United States › Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays
MLBFri 25 Sept, 19:07 United States time

Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction

Rogers Centre

Cincinnati RedsAway
3.9 : 5.5
projected runs
Toronto Blue JaysHome
32%Reds
68%Blue Jays
Eagle safe pickBlue Jays +0.5
-250

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 68% chance. We project Cincinnati Reds 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 5.5. Our best bet is Blue Jays +0.5 at -250.

Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Cincinnati Reds 4, Toronto Blue Jays 6
Projected total
9.4 runs
Best bet
Blue Jays +0.5 at -250

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Blue Jays +0.5
71% chanceFair price -2501 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Reds to win
31% chanceFair price +2261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Blue Jays 68% and Cincinnati Reds 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Blue Jays won 2 of their last 5 and Cincinnati Reds won 1 of their last 5. Toronto Blue Jays come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Blue Jays won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Cincinnati Reds won 4 of their last 13 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Blue Jays score 4.8 runs a game and let in 3.9. Cincinnati Reds score 4.5 and let in 7.3. Their recent games average 8.6 and 11.9 runs in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Blue Jays +0.5 has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blue Jaysrest between games-5%
  • Redsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays: Toronto Blue Jays are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Blue Jays host Cincinnati Reds in the MLB on Fri 25 Sept, 19:07 at Rogers Centre. Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 68% chance. We project Cincinnati Reds 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 5.5. Our best bet is Blue Jays +0.5 at -250.

Toronto Blue Jays form

Toronto Blue Jays have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Cincinnati Reds form

Cincinnati Reds have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 91 runs scored and 147 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 9 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cincinnati Reds to score about 3.9 runs and Toronto Blue Jays about 5.5. That points to Toronto Blue Jays to win. Our safest bet is Blue Jays +0.5 at -250. Our bold bet is Reds to win at +226.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Blue JaysReds
Games played2020
Wins118
Losses912
Runs scored9591
Runs conceded77147
Scored per game4.84.5
Conceded per game3.97.3
Home record6W 4L4W 3L
Away record5W 5L4W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Blue Jays spreadCoversFair
Blue Jays -3.533%+201
Blue Jays -2.542%+137
Blue Jays -1.552%-107
Blue Jays -0.561%-157
Blue Jays +0.570%-231
Total runsOverUnder
7.566%34%
8.558%42%
9.549%51%
10.540%60%
11.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Blue Jays +3.5 wins if Blue Jays win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Terry Francona Welcomes Reports of Reds Executives Returning Next Season

Reds manager Terry Francona is encouraged by reports that front office leaders Nick Krall and Brad Meador will return next season.

16 hours ago
MLB

Dodgers Clinch 14th Straight Postseason Berth With Win Over Reds

The Los Angeles Dodgers secured their 14th consecutive playoff spot after beating the Cincinnati Reds 4-1 on Monday.

15 Sept 2026
MLB

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Snaps Massive Home Run Drought in Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit his first regular season home run in Toronto since August 2025 to help the Blue Jays beat Baltimore 8-1.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Our prediction for Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays is Toronto Blue Jays to win, with a 68% chance. We project Cincinnati Reds 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 5.5. Our best bet is Blue Jays +0.5 at -250.

What is the projected score for Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays?

We project Cincinnati Reds 3.9 and Toronto Blue Jays 5.5, about 9.4 runs in total.

How are Toronto Blue Jays playing?

Toronto Blue Jays have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Cincinnati Reds playing?

Cincinnati Reds have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 91 runs scored and 147 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 9 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays?

Blue Jays +0.5 at -250, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Blue Jays against Reds. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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