Predictions › United States › Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles prediction

Doak Campbell Stadium

Clemson TigersAway
25.8 : 25.1
projected points
Florida State SeminolesHome
53%Clemson
47%Florida St
Eagle safe pickFlorida St +11.5
-311

Quick answer

Our prediction for Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles is Clemson Tigers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Clemson Tigers 25.8 and Florida State Seminoles 25.1. Our best bet is Florida St +11.5 at -311.

Prediction
Clemson Tigers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Clemson Tigers 26, Florida State Seminoles 25
Projected total
51.0 points
Best bet
Florida St +11.5 at -311

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Florida St +11.5
76% chanceFair price -3112 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida State Seminoles 47% and Clemson Tigers 53%. The bookmakers agree and make Clemson Tigers the favourite at -112.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida State Seminoles won 2 of their last 5 and Clemson Tigers won 4 of their last 5. Clemson Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida State Seminoles won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Clemson Tigers won 5 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida State Seminoles score 29.9 points a game and let in 25.8. Clemson Tigers score 26.5 and let in 21.4. Their recent games average 55.8 and 47.9 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Florida State Seminoles won 0 and Clemson Tigers won 1. The last one ended Clemson Tigers 24, Florida State Seminoles 10.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Florida St +11.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Florida Stteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles: Clemson Tigers shade it

The big picture

Florida State Seminoles host Clemson Tigers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 at Doak Campbell Stadium. Our prediction for Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles is Clemson Tigers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Clemson Tigers 25.8 and Florida State Seminoles 25.1. Our best bet is Florida St +11.5 at -311.

Florida State Seminoles form

Florida State Seminoles have 6 wins and 11 losses in their last 17 games, with 509 points scored and 439 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Clemson Tigers form

Clemson Tigers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 451 points scored and 363 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Florida State Seminoles won 0, Clemson Tigers won 1. Last time out it finished Clemson Tigers 24, Florida State Seminoles 10.

Our call

We expect Clemson Tigers to score about 25.8 points and Florida State Seminoles about 25.1. That points to Clemson Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Florida St +11.5 at -311.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Florida StClemson
Games played1717
Wins610
Losses117
Points scored509451
Points conceded439363
Scored per game29.926.5
Conceded per game25.821.4
Home record6W 3L5W 5L
Away record0W 8L5W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Florida St to win47%+111-108-8.8%
Clemson to win48%+106-112-8.3%
Florida St +1.549%+103-115-8.1%
Clemson -1.547%+114-105-8.9%
Over 51.5 points47%+113-110-10.2%
Under 51.5 points49%+105-110-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Florida St spreadCoversFair
Florida St -6.533%+207
Florida St -2.542%+138
Florida St +0.549%+102
Florida St +3.557%-132
Florida St +7.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.559%41%
50.551%49%
53.544%56%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Florida St +3.5 wins if Florida St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles?

Our prediction for Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles is Clemson Tigers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Clemson Tigers 25.8 and Florida State Seminoles 25.1. Our best bet is Florida St +11.5 at -311.

What is the projected score for Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles?

We project Clemson Tigers 25.8 and Florida State Seminoles 25.1, about 51.0 points in total.

How are Florida State Seminoles playing?

Florida State Seminoles have 6 wins and 11 losses in their last 17 games, with 509 points scored and 439 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Clemson Tigers playing?

Clemson Tigers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 451 points scored and 363 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Florida State Seminoles and Clemson Tigers last met?

It ended Clemson Tigers 24, Florida State Seminoles 10. In the last 1 meeting Florida State Seminoles won 0 and Clemson Tigers won 1.

What is the best bet for Clemson Tigers vs Florida State Seminoles?

Florida St +11.5 at -311, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Florida St against Clemson. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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