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Predictions › United States › Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets
NFLSun 11 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets prediction

MetLife Stadium

Cleveland BrownsAway
18.7 : 20.7
projected points
New York JetsHome
47%Browns
53%Jets
Eagle safe pickBrowns +9.5
-277

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets is New York Jets to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 18.7 and New York Jets 20.7. Our best bet is Browns +9.5 at -277.

Prediction
New York Jets to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Cleveland Browns 19, New York Jets 21
Projected total
39.3 points
Best bet
Browns +9.5 at -277

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Browns +9.5
73% chanceFair price -2771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Jets 53% and Cleveland Browns 47%. The bookmakers agree and make New York Jets the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Jets won 2 of their last 5 and Cleveland Browns won 3 of their last 5. Cleveland Browns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Jets won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Cleveland Browns won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Jets score 16.7 points a game and let in 25.9. Cleveland Browns score 17.1 and let in 23.0. Their recent games average 42.6 and 40.0 points in total, and the market line is 39.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, New York Jets won 1 and Cleveland Browns won 0. The last one ended New York Jets 27, Cleveland Browns 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Browns +9.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets: New York Jets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Jets host Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets is New York Jets to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 18.7 and New York Jets 20.7. Our best bet is Browns +9.5 at -277.

New York Jets form

New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 334 points scored and 518 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Cleveland Browns form

Cleveland Browns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 460 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. New York Jets won 1, Cleveland Browns won 0. Last time out it finished New York Jets 27, Cleveland Browns 20.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Browns to score about 18.7 points and New York Jets about 20.7. That points to New York Jets to win. Our safest bet is Browns +9.5 at -277.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JetsBrowns
Games played2020
Wins57
Losses1513
Points scored334341
Points conceded518460
Scored per game16.717.1
Conceded per game25.923.0
Home record2W 8L4W 6L
Away record3W 7L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Jets to win53%-113-142-9.7%
Browns to win41%+143+120-9.6%
Jets -2.546%+119-115-14.7%
Browns +2.548%+106-105-5.4%
Over 39.5 points47%+115-110-11.2%
Under 39.5 points48%+110-110-9.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jets spreadCoversFair
Jets -8.531%+218
Jets -4.543%+135
Jets -1.551%-106
Jets +1.560%-151
Jets +5.571%-246
Total pointsOverUnder
32.570%30%
36.559%41%
39.549%51%
42.540%60%
46.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jets +3.5 wins if Jets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Jets Down Another Receiver as Adonai Mitchell Ruled Out Against Lions

New York Jets wide receiver Adonai Mitchell is out for Sunday's game against the Detroit Lions due to a finger injury.

27 Sept 2026
NFL

Browns Set to Evaluate Deshaun Watson After Buccaneers Clash

Deshaun Watson faces a critical test against Tampa Bay as the Cleveland Browns prepare to evaluate their quarterback situation ahead of Week 3.

20 Sept 2026
NFL

Minkah Fitzpatrick Out for Jets Ahead of Packers Matchup

The New York Jets will be without safety Minkah Fitzpatrick against the Packers as they try to break a historic interception drought.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets?

Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets is New York Jets to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 18.7 and New York Jets 20.7. Our best bet is Browns +9.5 at -277.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets?

We project Cleveland Browns 18.7 and New York Jets 20.7, about 39.3 points in total.

How are New York Jets playing?

New York Jets have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 334 points scored and 518 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Cleveland Browns playing?

Cleveland Browns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 460 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Jets and Cleveland Browns last met?

It ended New York Jets 27, Cleveland Browns 20. In the last 1 meeting New York Jets won 1 and Cleveland Browns won 0.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets?

Browns +9.5 at -277, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jets against Browns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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