Predictions › United States › Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans
NFLSun 25 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans prediction

Nissan Stadium

Cleveland BrownsAway
19.1 : 18.5
projected points
Tennessee TitansHome
53%Browns
47%Titans
Eagle safe pickTitans +8.5
-277

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans is Cleveland Browns to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 19.1 and Tennessee Titans 18.5. Our best bet is Titans +8.5 at -277.

Prediction
Cleveland Browns to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Cleveland Browns 19, Tennessee Titans 18
Projected total
37.6 points
Best bet
Titans +8.5 at -277

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Titans +8.5
73% chanceFair price -2771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tennessee Titans 47% and Cleveland Browns 53%. The bookmakers agree and make Cleveland Browns the favourite at -122.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tennessee Titans won 0 of their last 5 and Cleveland Browns won 3 of their last 5. Cleveland Browns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tennessee Titans won 2 of their last 12 games at home. Cleveland Browns won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tennessee Titans score 16.1 points a game and let in 24.9. Cleveland Browns score 17.6 and let in 22.3. Their recent games average 41.0 and 40.0 points in total, and the market line is 37.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tennessee Titans won 1 and Cleveland Browns won 0. The last one ended Cleveland Browns 29, Tennessee Titans 31.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Titans +8.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Brownsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans: Cleveland Browns shade it

The big picture

Tennessee Titans host Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at Nissan Stadium. Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans is Cleveland Browns to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 19.1 and Tennessee Titans 18.5. Our best bet is Titans +8.5 at -277.

Tennessee Titans form

Tennessee Titans have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 322 points scored and 499 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Cleveland Browns form

Cleveland Browns have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 353 points scored and 446 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tennessee Titans won 1, Cleveland Browns won 0. Last time out it finished Cleveland Browns 29, Tennessee Titans 31.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Browns to score about 19.1 points and Tennessee Titans about 18.5. That points to Cleveland Browns to win. Our safest bet is Titans +8.5 at -277.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TitansBrowns
Games played2020
Wins48
Losses1612
Points scored322353
Points conceded499446
Scored per game16.117.6
Conceded per game24.922.3
Home record2W 10L5W 5L
Away record2W 6L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Titans to win47%+115+102-6.0%
Browns to win50%-100-122-8.9%
Titans +1.550%-100-110-4.4%
Browns -1.546%+115-110-11.3%
Over 37.5 points49%+106-110-7.4%
Under 37.5 points48%+108-110-8.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Titans spreadCoversFair
Titans -6.530%+235
Titans -2.541%+145
Titans +0.550%+102
Titans +3.558%-140
Titans +7.569%-227
Total pointsOverUnder
30.571%29%
34.559%41%
37.550%50%
40.541%59%
44.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Titans +3.5 wins if Titans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans?

Our prediction for Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans is Cleveland Browns to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Browns 19.1 and Tennessee Titans 18.5. Our best bet is Titans +8.5 at -277.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans?

We project Cleveland Browns 19.1 and Tennessee Titans 18.5, about 37.6 points in total.

How are Tennessee Titans playing?

Tennessee Titans have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 322 points scored and 499 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 10 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Cleveland Browns playing?

Cleveland Browns have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 353 points scored and 446 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Tennessee Titans and Cleveland Browns last met?

It ended Cleveland Browns 29, Tennessee Titans 31. In the last 1 meeting Tennessee Titans won 1 and Cleveland Browns won 0.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans?

Titans +8.5 at -277, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Titans against Browns. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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