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Predictions › United States › Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat
NBAFri 13 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat prediction

Kaseya Center

Cleveland CavaliersAway
121.6 : 121.9
projected points
Miami HeatHome
53%Cavaliers
47%Heat
Eagle safe pickCavaliers +8.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 121.6 and Miami Heat 121.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +8.5 at -310.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Cleveland Cavaliers 122, Miami Heat 122
Projected total
243.5 points
Best bet
Cavaliers +8.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers +8.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Heat 47% and Cleveland Cavaliers 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Heat won 2 of their last 5 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 3 of their last 5. Cleveland Cavaliers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Heat won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Cleveland Cavaliers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Heat score 124.3 points a game and let in 124.0. Cleveland Cavaliers score 112.3 and let in 114.5. Their recent games average 248.3 and 226.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Miami Heat won 2 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 2. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 149, Miami Heat 128.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers +8.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Heatrest between games-5%
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat: Cleveland Cavaliers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Miami Heat host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Fri 13 Nov, 20:00 at Kaseya Center. Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 121.6 and Miami Heat 121.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +8.5 at -310.

Miami Heat form

Miami Heat have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2485 points scored and 2481 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2290 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Miami Heat won 2, Cleveland Cavaliers won 2. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 149, Miami Heat 128.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Cavaliers to score about 121.6 points and Miami Heat about 121.9. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers +8.5 at -310.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HeatCavaliers
Games played2020
Wins99
Losses1111
Points scored24852245
Points conceded24812290
Scored per game124.3112.3
Conceded per game124.0114.5
Home record6W 5L6W 5L
Away record3W 6L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Heat spreadCoversFair
Heat -6.531%+225
Heat -3.540%+152
Heat -0.549%+104
Heat +2.559%-142
Heat +5.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
237.563%37%
240.557%43%
243.550%50%
246.543%57%
249.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Heat +3.5 wins if Heat win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Gilgeous Alexander Scores 43 to Lead Thunder Past Cavaliers

Shai Gilgeous Alexander scored 43 points as the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-112 on Monday night.

3 Nov 2026
NBA

Sheri Sam Joins Indiana Fever Front Office as Assistant GM

The Indiana Fever have hired former WNBA champion Sheri Sam away from the Portland Trail Blazers to serve as assistant general manager.

30 Oct 2026
NBA

Giannis Powers Miami Past Hawks as Adebayo Makes Heat History

Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo led the Miami Heat to their first victory of the season with a 129-117 win over Atlanta.

29 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat?

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 121.6 and Miami Heat 121.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +8.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat?

We project Cleveland Cavaliers 121.6 and Miami Heat 121.9, about 243.5 points in total.

How are Miami Heat playing?

Miami Heat have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2485 points scored and 2481 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2290 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 149, Miami Heat 128. In the last 4 meetings Miami Heat won 2 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 2.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat?

Cavaliers +8.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Heat against Cavaliers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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