Predictions › United States › Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers
NBAThu 22 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction

Xfinity Mobile Arena

Cleveland CavaliersAway
114.6 : 117.9
projected points
Philadelphia 76ersHome
45%Cavaliers
55%76ers
Eagle safe pickCavaliers +12.5
-315

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 114.6 and Philadelphia 76ers 117.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +12.5 at -315.

Prediction
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Cleveland Cavaliers 115, Philadelphia 76ers 118
Projected total
232.5 points
Best bet
Cavaliers +12.5 at -315

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers +12.5
76% chanceFair price -3152 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia 76ers 55% and Cleveland Cavaliers 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Philadelphia 76ers the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia 76ers won 1 of their last 5 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia 76ers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Cleveland Cavaliers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia 76ers score 105.3 points a game and let in 112.0. Cleveland Cavaliers score 108.8 and let in 111.3. Their recent games average 217.2 and 220.1 points in total, and the market line is 233.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Philadelphia 76ers won 0 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 4. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 115, Philadelphia 76ers 101.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers +12.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • 76ersrest between games-2%
  • Cavaliersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers: Philadelphia 76ers shade it

The big picture

Philadelphia 76ers host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Thu 22 Oct, 19:00 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 114.6 and Philadelphia 76ers 117.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +12.5 at -315.

Philadelphia 76ers form

Philadelphia 76ers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2105 points scored and 2239 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2227 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Philadelphia 76ers won 0, Cleveland Cavaliers won 4. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 115, Philadelphia 76ers 101.

Our call

We expect Cleveland Cavaliers to score about 114.6 points and Philadelphia 76ers about 117.9. That points to Philadelphia 76ers to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers +12.5 at -315.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

76ersCavaliers
Games played2020
Wins89
Losses1211
Points scored21052175
Points conceded22392227
Scored per game105.3108.8
Conceded per game112.0111.3
Home record4W 5L7W 4L
Away record4W 7L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
76ers to win55%-122-155-9.8%
Cavaliers to win40%+147+130-7.1%
76ers -4.545%+124-105-12.8%
Cavaliers +4.551%-103-115-5.3%
Over 233.5 points46%+118-110-12.5%
Under 233.5 points49%+102-110-5.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

76ers spreadCoversFair
76ers -9.531%+222
76ers -6.540%+150
76ers -3.549%+102
76ers -0.559%-144
76ers +2.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
226.563%37%
229.557%43%
232.550%50%
235.543%57%
238.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. 76ers +3.5 wins if 76ers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers?

Our prediction for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers is Philadelphia 76ers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Cleveland Cavaliers 114.6 and Philadelphia 76ers 117.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +12.5 at -315.

What is the projected score for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers?

We project Cleveland Cavaliers 114.6 and Philadelphia 76ers 117.9, about 232.5 points in total.

How are Philadelphia 76ers playing?

Philadelphia 76ers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2105 points scored and 2239 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2175 points scored and 2227 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia 76ers and Cleveland Cavaliers last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 115, Philadelphia 76ers 101. In the last 4 meetings Philadelphia 76ers won 0 and Cleveland Cavaliers won 4.

What is the best bet for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers?

Cavaliers +12.5 at -315, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in 76ers against Cavaliers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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