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NHLSat 14 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Colorado AvalancheAway
3.3 : 2.8
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
62%Avalanche
38%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-488

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 62% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 2.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -488.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Colorado Avalanche 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.1 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -488

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -4882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canadiens to win
38% chanceFair price +1611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 38% and Colorado Avalanche 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 5 and Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.0. Colorado Avalanche score 3.8 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Colorado Avalanche won 1. The last one ended Montreal Canadiens 7, Colorado Avalanche 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Colorado Avalanche in the NHL on Sat 14 Nov, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 62% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 2.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -488.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 76 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 1, Colorado Avalanche won 1. Last time out it finished Montreal Canadiens 7, Colorado Avalanche 3.

Our call

We expect Colorado Avalanche to score about 3.3 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 2.8. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -488. Our bold bet is Canadiens to win at +161.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensAvalanche
Games played2020
Wins1311
Losses79
Goals scored7076
Goals conceded5961
Scored per game3.53.8
Conceded per game3.03.0
Home record7W 4L8W 2L
Away record6W 3L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -0.533%+202
Canadiens +0.549%+103
Canadiens +1.565%-189
Total goalsOverUnder
5.560%40%
6.543%57%
7.527%73%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 62% chance. We project Colorado Avalanche 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 2.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -488.

What is the projected score for Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Colorado Avalanche 3.3 and Montreal Canadiens 2.8, about 6.1 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 59 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 76 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Colorado Avalanche last met?

It ended Montreal Canadiens 7, Colorado Avalanche 3. In the last 2 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Colorado Avalanche won 1.

What is the best bet for Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens?

Under 8 goals at -488, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Avalanche. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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