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Predictions › Italy › Como vs Venezia
Serie ASun 1 Nov, 11:30 Italy time

Como vs Venezia prediction

Giuseppe Sinigaglia

ComoHome
2.09 : 0.81
expected goals
VeneziaAway
66%Como
21%Draw
13%Venezia
Eagle safe pickComo draw no bet
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Como vs Venezia is Como to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Como draw no bet at 1.20.

Prediction
Como to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Como 2.1, Venezia 0.8
Best bet
Como draw no bet at 1.20
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Como draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Como to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Como 66%, the draw 21% and Venezia 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Como took 7 points from their last 5 games and Venezia took 3 from 5. Como come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Como won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Venezia won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Como score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.0. Venezia score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Como games and 9 of Venezia games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Como draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Comorecent form-1%
  • Veneziarecent form-6%
  • Comorest between games-5%
Como form D W L D LVenezia form D L L L LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Como vs Venezia: Como are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Como host Venezia in the Serie A on Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 at Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Our prediction for Como vs Venezia is Como to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Como draw no bet at 1.20.

Como form

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Venezia form

Venezia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Como to score about 2.1 goals and Venezia about 0.8. That points to Como to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Como draw no bet at 1.20. Our bold bet is Como to win and Over 2.5 at 2.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ComoVenezia
Games played2020
Wins129
Draws45
Losses46
Goals scored4133
Goals conceded2025
Scored per game2.01.6
Conceded per game1.01.3
Home record6W 2D 1L8W 0D 3L
Away record6W 2D 3L1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Both teams to score49%2.03
Como or Draw87%1.15
Venezia or Draw34%2.97
Como to win and Over 2.543%2.30
Venezia to win and Over 2.57%13.91
Como clean sheet44%2.25
Venezia clean sheet12%8.08

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.0%
1-010.9%
1-19.9%
2-19.7%
3-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Champions League

Fabregas Regrets Telling Como to Ease Off in Man United Win

Cesc Fabregas expressed regret for telling his Como players to slow down near the end of their 4-1 win over Manchester United.

4 hours ago
Champions League

Tielemans Speaks Out After Manchester United Slump Against Como

Youri Tielemans called Manchester United's 4-1 loss to Como very poor as the team went seven straight games without a win.

7 hours ago
Premier League

Michael Carrick Demands Wins As Manchester United Pressure Mounts

Michael Carrick insists he has the support of Manchester United board members, but accepts he must turn around a six match winless run.

20 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Como vs Venezia?

Our prediction for Como vs Venezia is Como to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Como draw no bet at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Como vs Venezia?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Como to score 2.1 goals and Venezia 0.8.

Will both teams score in Como vs Venezia?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Como last 20 games and 10 of Venezia last 20.

How are Como playing?

Como have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Venezia playing?

Venezia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Como vs Venezia?

Como draw no bet at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Como against Venezia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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