Predictions › Europa League › Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim

Europa LeagueThu 5 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction

Selhurst Park

Crystal PalaceHome

1.81 : 1.30

expected goals

TSG HoffenheimAway

49%C Palace

24%Draw

27%Hoffenheim

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim is Crystal Palace to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Crystal Palace to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.8, TSG Hoffenheim 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Crystal Palace 49%, the draw 24% and TSG Hoffenheim 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Crystal Palace the favourite at 1.87.
2
Recent form
Crystal Palace took 4 points from their last 5 games and TSG Hoffenheim took 9 from 5. TSG Hoffenheim come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Crystal Palace won 5 of their last 10 games at home. TSG Hoffenheim won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Crystal Palace score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. TSG Hoffenheim score 1.8 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Crystal Palace games and 17 of TSG Hoffenheim games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

C Palacerecent form-1%
C Palacerest between games-5%
Hoffenheimrest between games-5%

C Palace form D D L L WHoffenheim form D W W L LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim: Crystal Palace are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Crystal Palace host TSG Hoffenheim in the Europa League on Thu 5 Nov, 17:45 at Selhurst Park. Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim is Crystal Palace to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

TSG Hoffenheim form

TSG Hoffenheim have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Crystal Palace to score about 1.8 goals and TSG Hoffenheim about 1.3. That points to Crystal Palace to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5 at 3.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	C Palace	Hoffenheim
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	8
Draws	4	3
Losses	9	9
Goals scored	31	35
Goals conceded	38	40
Scored per game	1.6	1.8
Conceded per game	1.9	2.0
Home record	5W 1D 4L	5W 2D 4L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	55%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Crystal Palace to win	46%	2.17	1.87	-13.7%
A Draw	24%	4.26	3.85	-9.5%
TSG Hoffenheim to win	26%	3.86	3.65	-5.5%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.82	1.53	-16.0%
Under 2.5 goals	39%	2.57	2.35	-8.4%
Crystal Palace -0.5	47%	2.12	1.77	-16.6%
TSG Hoffenheim +0.5	47%	2.14	1.83	-14.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.67
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.65
Both teams to score	61%	1.63
Crystal Palace or Draw	73%	1.37
TSG Hoffenheim or Draw	51%	1.95
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.94
TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.57
Crystal Palace clean sheet	27%	3.66
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet	16%	6.11

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%

2-19.5%

1-07.5%

2-07.3%

1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Pierre Sage Dismisses Job Rumours Following Crystal Palace Loss

Pierre Sage insists there is no internal pressure at Crystal Palace after a 2-0 defeat to Newcastle at Selhurst Park.

12 hours ago

Premier League

Pierre Sage Frustrated as Crystal Palace Stumble in Lyon

Crystal Palace suffered a 3-2 loss to Lyon, leaving manager Pierre Sage angry with his squad's poor first half performance.

15 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Our prediction for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim is Crystal Palace to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Crystal Palace to score 1.8 goals and TSG Hoffenheim 1.3.

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Crystal Palace last 20 games and 14 of TSG Hoffenheim last 20.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

How are TSG Hoffenheim playing?

What is the best bet for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in C Palace against Hoffenheim. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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