Predictions › Conference League › CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco prediction

Vasil Levski National Stadium

CSKA SofiaHome
0.94 : 2.00
expected goals
AS MonacoAway
16%CSKA Sofia
22%Draw
61%Monaco
Eagle safe pickAS Monaco or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco is AS Monaco to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is AS Monaco or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
AS Monaco to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
CSKA Sofia 0.9, AS Monaco 2.0
Best bet
AS Monaco or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AS Monaco or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CSKA Sofia 16%, the draw 22% and AS Monaco 61%. The bookmakers agree and make AS Monaco the favourite at 1.50.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    AS Monaco or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • CSKA Sofiarecent form-3%
  • Monacorecent form+6%
CSKA Sofia form L L L W DMonaco form W D W W WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco: AS Monaco are favourites

The big picture

CSKA Sofia host AS Monaco in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Vasil Levski National Stadium. Our prediction for CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco is AS Monaco to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is AS Monaco or Draw at 1.23.

CSKA Sofia form

CSKA Sofia have no recent games in our records yet.

AS Monaco form

AS Monaco have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect CSKA Sofia to score about 0.9 goals and AS Monaco about 2.0. That points to AS Monaco to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AS Monaco or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is AS Monaco to win and Over 2.5 at 2.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CSKA SofiaMonaco
Games playedn/a20
Winsn/a12
Drawsn/a4
Lossesn/a4
Goals scoredn/a40
Goals concededn/a29
Scored per gamen/a2.0
Conceded per gamen/a1.4
Home recordn/a6W 1D 2L
Away recordn/a6W 3D 2L
Clean sheetsn/a20%
Both teams scoredn/a75%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
CSKA Sofia to win16%6.205.50-11.3%
A Draw22%4.594.50-1.9%
AS Monaco to win60%1.681.50-10.5%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.881.65-12.3%
Under 2.5 goals41%2.432.10-13.5%
CSKA Sofia +1.558%1.721.51-12.0%
AS Monaco -1.537%2.692.25-16.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%2.95
Both teams to score53%1.88
CSKA Sofia or Draw39%2.59
AS Monaco or Draw84%1.20
CSKA Sofia to win and Over 2.510%10.32
AS Monaco to win and Over 2.541%2.45
CSKA Sofia clean sheet14%7.39
AS Monaco clean sheet39%2.56

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-210.6%
1-110.5%
0-110.0%
1-29.9%
0-37.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

Our prediction for CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco is AS Monaco to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is AS Monaco or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect CSKA Sofia to score 0.9 goals and AS Monaco 2.0.

Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance.

How are AS Monaco playing?

AS Monaco have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

AS Monaco or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CSKA Sofia against Monaco. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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